BKH · Intrinsic value
Is Black Hills Corporation (BKH) overvalued or undervalued?
Black Hills Corporation (BKH) trades at the delayed market price of $76.40 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of 6.1% a year for 5 years. TickerWorth's fair value is $69.07 a share (priced within our range of $53.08 – $92.35). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from SEC filings and market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
Is BKH fairly valued?
- Fair value
- $69.07
- Market price
- $76.40
- Downside to fair value
- 9.6%
- Verdict
- Priced within our range of $53.08 – $92.35
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 6.1% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 3.8% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is BKH's TickerWorth Score?
Middle of the pack — real strengths and real weaknesses
Compared with Utilities companies in US
Its strongest point: looks cheap on the numbers. Its weakest: profitability is weak.
- Value · 73 of 100
Cheaper than 73% of Utilities companies in US
- Price vs worth · 32 of 100
- Quality · 33 of 100
More profitable than 33% of Utilities companies in US
- Financial health · 54 of 100
Financially stronger than 54% of Utilities companies in US
- Growth · 55 of 100
Growing faster than 55% of Utilities companies in US
- Momentum · 82 of 100
Outperformed 82% of Utilities companies in US over the past year
Confidence: High confidence · Scored
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BKH DCF valuation, input by input
TickerWorth's fair value for Black Hills Corporation (BKH) is $69.07 a share, against the delayed market price of $76.40 (priced within our range of $53.08 – $92.35). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values BKH at about $66.62 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.
The valuation discounts Black Hills Corporation's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 7.1%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 81% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 6.1% annual revenue growth for BKH. Our base case instead compounds to about 3.8% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in materially faster growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, BKH's modeled DCF value ranges from about $36.98 to $165.97 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Black Hills Corporation would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of BKH's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind BKH's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueBlack Hills Corporation FY2025 10-K (accession 0001193125-26-046028): us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, FY2025 full year. | $2,286,200,000 |
| Base EBIT marginBlack Hills Corporation FY2025 10-K (accession 0001193125-26-046028): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 537,500,000 / revenue 2,286,200,000 = 23.51%, FY2025. | 23.5% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 4% → 4% → 4% → 4% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.1% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.66 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesBlack Hills Corporation FY2025 10-K (accession 0001193125-26-046028): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 73,200,000 shares, FY2025. | 73M |
| Market priceDelayed quote · as of 2026-10-19 21:42 UTC | $76.40 |
Change BKH's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
ProChange growth, margin and WACC yourself — Pro (7-day free trial, card required).
What does Black Hills Corporation do?
What does it do?
Black Hills Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as an electric and natural gas utility company in the United States. The company operates through the Electric Utilities and Gas Utilities segments. It operates in the Utilities - Regulated Gas industry (Utilities sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 2,795 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $2.3B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $21 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 21.4%), after a 40% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 13.0% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks stretched: carries moderate debt (1.1× equity), may struggle to cover its short-term bills (0.5× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at BKH filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otto Robert P | Director | Open-market sale | $304,969.57 | Form 4 for Otto Robert P (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Waleski Anne G | Director | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Waleski Anne G (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Taylor Teresa | Director | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Taylor Teresa (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Prochazka Scott M | Director | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Prochazka Scott M (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Otto Robert P | Director | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Otto Robert P (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| MILLS STEVEN RICHARD | Director | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for MILLS STEVEN RICHARD (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is BKH's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's blended fair value for Black Hills Corporation (BKH) is $69.07 per share, versus a market price of $76.40 (priced within our range of $53.08 – $92.35).
Is BKH overvalued or undervalued?
Priced within our range of $53.08 – $92.35 at $76.40. We don't call BKH overvalued or undervalued from a range. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for BKH?
A WACC of 7.1% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Black Hills stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair value for Black Hills Corporation (BKH) is $69.07 against a market price of $76.40. Our read: Priced within our range of $53.08 – $92.35. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Black Hills (BKH) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair value for Black Hills Corporation (BKH) is $69.07, built on a 7.1% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Black Hills stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of 6.1% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 3.8% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $76.40. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Black Hills (BKH) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for Black Hills Corporation (BKH): Otto Robert P, Director, open-market sale on 2026-05-27. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.