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Is Core & Main, Inc. (CNM) overvalued or undervalued?

Updated Sep 9, 2026 · researched from SEC filings · educational, not advice

Fair value
$86.31
Market price
$42.31
Upside to fair value
+104.0%
Verdict
104% below fair value

Test the assumptions — move the discount rate

The DCF value below is a real engine result at each WACC (not a re-estimate). Drag to see how sensitive CNM's DCF is to the discount rate.

Market price: $42.31

At a recent price of $42.31, Core & Main, Inc. (CNM) trades 104% below TickerWorth's blended fair value of $86.31 per share — a discounted-cash-flow model cross-checked against peer multiples and asset value — meaning the market currently prices CNM undervalued vs our estimate of what the business is intrinsically worth. Our fair value sits above the market, an implied +104.0% move to close the gap if the business performs in line with our assumptions. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation — the value moves with the inputs, which you can test yourself using the WACC slider below.

One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values CNM at about $49.10 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.

The valuation discounts Core & Main, Inc.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 8.3%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 77% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.

Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 3.6% annual revenue growth for CNM. Our base case instead assumes about 5.6% average growth over the forecast, so the market's implied growth is broadly in line with our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.

Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, CNM's modeled DCF value ranges from about $32.48 to $90.94 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.

How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Core & Main, Inc. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of CNM's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.

The assumptions behind CNM's DCF

InputValueSource
Base-year revenue$7,647,000,000Core & Main, Inc. FY2023 10-K (accession 0001856525-26-000031): us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, FY2023 full year.
Base EBIT margin9.4%Core & Main, Inc. FY2023 10-K (accession 0001856525-26-000031): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 722,000,000 / revenue 7,647,000,000 = 9.44%, FY2023.
Forecast revenue growth7% → 6% → 6% → 5% → 4%Assumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast
Risk-free rate4.8%Live feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX)
Beta0.91Live feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5)
Terminal growth2.5%Assumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC
Diluted shares198MCore & Main, Inc. FY2023 10-K (accession 0001856525-26-000031): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 197,861,786 shares, FY2023.
Market price$42.31Delayed quote · as of 2026-09-09 14:06 UTC

Researched from filings: the base year — revenue, operating margin and balance-sheet figures — comes straight from this company's latest SEC 10-K (cached, refreshed periodically). Forward growth and terminal value are still algorithmic estimates; drag the WACC slider to test sensitivity.

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Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is an educational DCF tool, not a licensed investment adviser. Figures are estimates derived from public filings and market data and can be wrong.