CW · Intrinsic value
Is Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) overvalued or undervalued?
Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) trades at the delayed market price of $498.27 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. TickerWorth's fair value is $270.98 a share (84% above fair value), as of Oct 19, 2026. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from SEC filings and market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
Is CW overvalued?
- Fair value
- $270.98
- Market price
- $498.27
- Downside to fair value
- 45.6%
- Verdict
- 84% above fair value
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast.
What is CW's TickerWorth Score?
Expensive vs our estimate — the business scores well
Compared with Industrials companies in US
Its strongest point: a profitable, high-quality business. Its weakest: trades above our estimate of what it's worth.
- Value · 33 of 100
Cheaper than 33% of Industrials companies in US
- Price vs worth · 14 of 100
- Quality · 69 of 100
More profitable than 69% of Industrials companies in US
- Financial health · 70 of 100
Financially stronger than 70% of Industrials companies in US
- Growth · 39 of 100
Growing faster than 39% of Industrials companies in US
- Momentum · 14 of 100
Outperformed 14% of Industrials companies in US over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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CW DCF valuation: what the price assumes
At a recent price of $498.27, Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) trades 84% above TickerWorth's blended fair value of $270.98 per share — a discounted-cash-flow model cross-checked against peer multiples and asset value — meaning the market currently prices CW overvalued vs our estimate of what the business is intrinsically worth. Our fair value sits below the market, an implied -45.6% move to close the gap if the business performs in line with our assumptions. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation — the value moves with the inputs, which you can test yourself using the WACC slider below.
Read the full reasoning
One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values CW at about $216.66 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.
The valuation discounts Curtiss-Wright Corporation's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 8.7%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 75% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — CW would need sustained revenue growth of more than 25%/yr to justify today's price, against about 4.7% a year compounded in our base case. We don't quote a precise figure here, because past about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative: it solves for revenue growth alone, holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed, so a price well above our fair value has nowhere to go but growth. The honest reading is that the price implies growth this model can't reconcile — not that we forecast it.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, CW's modeled DCF value ranges from about $155.18 to $360.33 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Curtiss-Wright Corporation would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of CW's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind CW's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueCURTISS-WRIGHT CORPORATION FY2025 10-K (accession 0001628280-26-007587): us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, FY2025 full year. | $3,498,370,000 |
| Base EBIT marginCURTISS-WRIGHT CORPORATION FY2025 10-K (accession 0001628280-26-007587): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 633,521,000 / revenue 3,498,372,000 = 18.11%, FY2025. | 18.1% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 5% → 5% → 5% → 4% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 4.8% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.88 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesCURTISS-WRIGHT CORPORATION FY2025 10-K (accession 0001628280-26-007587): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 37,631,000 shares, FY2025. | 38M |
| Market priceDelayed quote · as of 2026-10-19 17:01 UTC | $498.27 |
Change CW's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
ProChange growth, margin and WACC yourself — Pro (7-day free trial, card required).
What does Curtiss-Wright Corporation do?
What does it do?
Curtiss-Wright Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineered products, solutions, and services mainly to aerospace and defense, commercial nuclear power, process, and industrial markets worldwide. It operates through three segments: Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power. It operates in the Aerospace & Defense industry (Industrials sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 9,200 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $3.7B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $19 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 19.4%), after a 38% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 14.8% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks mixed: carries modest debt (0.4× equity), comfortably covers its short-term bills (1.6× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at CW filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyche Larry D | Director | Open-market sale | $59,674.00 | Form 4 for Wyche Larry D (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Watts John C | EVP & Chief Growth Officer | Open-market sale | $641,141.10 | Form 4 for Watts John C (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Lyash Jeffrey J. | Director | Open-market buy | $148,999.07 | Form 4 for Lyash Jeffrey J. (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| McDonald George P. | Executive VP and Corporate Sec | Grant / award | $15,872.00 | Form 4 for McDonald George P. (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Watts John C | EVP & Chief Growth Officer | Grant / award | $5,713.92 | Form 4 for Watts John C (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Rayment Kevin | Executive VP and COO | Grant / award | $16,506.88 | Form 4 for Rayment Kevin (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is CW's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's blended fair value for Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) is $270.98 per share, versus a market price of $498.27 (84% above fair value).
Is CW overvalued or undervalued?
On our blended fair value CW looks overvalued vs fair value at $498.27. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for CW?
A WACC of 8.7% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Curtiss-Wright stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair value for Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) is $270.98 against a market price of $498.27. Our read: 84% above fair value. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Curtiss-Wright (CW) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair value for Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) is $270.98, built on a 8.7% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Curtiss-Wright stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $498.27. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Curtiss-Wright (CW) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW): Wyche Larry D, Director, open-market sale on 2026-08-28. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
Stocks below our fair value instead
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.