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Is General Mills, Inc. (GIS) overvalued or undervalued?

Updated Sep 3, 2026 · researched from SEC filings · educational, not advice

Backup data source — This price comes from our backup market-data feed. Valuations here are built from company filings and are unaffected.

Fair-value range
$16.02 – $134.24
Market price
$40.58
Gap to fair value
Verdict
Price inside a range too wide to call either way

Test the assumptions — move the discount rate

The DCF value below is a real engine result at each WACC (not a re-estimate). Drag to see how sensitive GIS's DCF is to the discount rate.

Market price: $40.58

At a recent price of $40.58, General Mills, Inc. (GIS) sits inside a range too wide to call either way: our valuation lenses put the business somewhere between $16.02 and $134.24 per share, and they disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value. We publish the range rather than a midpoint because a number that precise would claim more than the methods can support. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.

The valuation discounts General Mills, Inc.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 9.5%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 79% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.

Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 12.2% annual revenue growth for GIS. Our base case instead assumes about 2.9% average growth over the forecast, so the market is pricing in materially faster growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.

Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, GIS's modeled DCF value ranges from about $5.56 to $38.04 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.

How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what General Mills, Inc. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of GIS's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.

The assumptions behind GIS's DCF

InputValueSource
Base-year revenue$18,424,600,000General Mills, Inc. FY2026 10-K (accession 0001628280-26-046466): us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, FY2026 full year.
Base EBIT margin4.8%General Mills, Inc. FY2026 10-K (accession 0001628280-26-046466): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 885,800,000 / revenue 18,424,600,000 = 4.81%, FY2026.
Forecast revenue growth2% → 2% → 3% → 3% → 4%Assumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast
Risk-free rate4.8%Live feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX)
Beta1.00Live feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5)
Terminal growth2.5%Assumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC
Diluted shares538MGeneral Mills, Inc. FY2026 10-K (accession 0001628280-26-046466): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 537,700,000 shares, FY2026.
Market price$40.58Backup price feed · as of 2026-09-03 07:23 UTC

Researched from filings: the base year comes from this company's latest SEC 10-K (XBRL); forward growth and terminal value remain algorithmic estimates, cached and refreshed periodically.

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Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is an educational DCF tool, not a licensed investment adviser. Figures are estimates derived from public filings and market data and can be wrong.