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Is Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) overvalued or undervalued?

Updated Sep 3, 2026 · researched from SEC filings · educational, not advice

Backup data source — This price comes from our backup market-data feed. Valuations here are built from company filings and are unaffected.

Fair value
$837.23
Market price
$949.38
Downside to fair value
11.8%
Verdict
12% above fair value

Test the assumptions — move the discount rate

The DCF value below is a real engine result at each WACC (not a re-estimate). Drag to see how sensitive PH's DCF is to the discount rate.

Market price: $949.38

At a recent price of $949.38, Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) trades 12% above TickerWorth's blended fair value of $837.23 per share — a discounted-cash-flow model cross-checked against peer multiples and asset value — meaning the market currently prices PH overvalued vs our estimate of what the business is intrinsically worth. Our fair value sits below the market, an implied -11.8% move to close the gap if the business performs in line with our assumptions. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation — the value moves with the inputs, which you can test yourself using the WACC slider below.

One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values PH at about $390.01 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.

The valuation discounts Parker-Hannifin Corporation's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 9.7%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 72% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.

Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — PH would need sustained revenue growth of more than 25%/yr to justify today's price, against the roughly 6.9% average our base case assumes. We don't quote a precise figure here, because past about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative: it solves for revenue growth alone, holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed, so a price well above our fair value has nowhere to go but growth. The honest reading is that the price implies growth this model can't reconcile — not that we forecast it.

Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, PH's modeled DCF value ranges from about $284.57 to $606.18 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.

How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Parker-Hannifin Corporation would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of PH's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.

The assumptions behind PH's DCF

InputValueSource
Base-year revenue$19,850,000,000PARKER-HANNIFIN CORPORATION FY2025 10-K (accession 0000076334-25-000035): us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, FY2025 full year.
Base EBIT margin21.9%PARKER-HANNIFIN CORPORATION FY2025 10-K (accession 0000076334-25-000035): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 4,347,000,000 / revenue 19,850,000,000 = 21.90%, FY2025.
Forecast revenue growth10% → 8% → 7% → 5% → 4%Assumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast
Risk-free rate4.7%Live feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX)
Beta1.13Live feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5)
Terminal growth2.5%Assumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC
Diluted shares130MPARKER-HANNIFIN CORPORATION FY2025 10-K (accession 0000076334-25-000035): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 130,200,000 shares, FY2025.
Market price$949.38Backup price feed · as of 2026-09-03 06:39 UTC

Researched from filings: the base year — revenue, operating margin and balance-sheet figures — comes straight from this company's latest SEC 10-K (cached, refreshed periodically). Forward growth and terminal value are still algorithmic estimates; drag the WACC slider to test sensitivity.

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Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is an educational DCF tool, not a licensed investment adviser. Figures are estimates derived from public filings and market data and can be wrong.