SWK · Intrinsic value
Is Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 19, 2026, TickerWorth's valuation lenses put Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) at $50.32 – $198.69, too broad a range to say where the delayed market price of $92.24 sits in it, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from SEC filings and market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
What is SWK worth?
- Fair-value range
- $50.32 – $198.69
- Market price
- $92.24
- Gap to fair value
- —
- Verdict
- Too wide to call
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of −5.6% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 2.8% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is SWK's TickerWorth Score?
Cheap against our estimate — but a weaker business
Compared with Industrials companies in US
Its strongest point: looks cheap on the numbers. Its weakest: profitability is weak.
- Value · 84 of 100
Cheaper than 84% of Industrials companies in US
- Price vs worth · 74 of 100
- Quality · 31 of 100
More profitable than 31% of Industrials companies in US
- Financial health · 43 of 100
Financially stronger than 43% of Industrials companies in US
- Growth · 57 of 100
Growing faster than 57% of Industrials companies in US
- Momentum · 72 of 100
Outperformed 72% of Industrials companies in US over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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Why SWK gets a range, not one number
At a recent price of $92.24, Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) sits inside a range too wide to call either way: our valuation lenses put the business somewhere between $50.32 and $198.69 per share. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value. We publish the range rather than a midpoint because a number that precise would claim more than the methods can support. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
The valuation discounts Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 9.3%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 73% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly -5.6% annual revenue growth for SWK. Our base case instead compounds to about 2.8% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in slower growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, SWK's modeled DCF value ranges from about $99.00 to $233.77 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of SWK's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind SWK's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueSTANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC. FY2025 10-K (accession 0000093556-26-000009): us-gaap:Revenues, FY2025 full year. | $15,130,400,000 |
| Base EBIT marginSTANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC. FY2020 10-K (accession 0000093556-21-000008): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 2,176,000,000 / revenue 15,130,400,000 = 14.38%, FY2025. | 14.4% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 2% → 2% → 3% → 3% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.2% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 1.17 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesSTANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC. FY2025 10-K (accession 0000093556-26-000009): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 151,878,000 shares, FY2025. | 152M |
| Market priceLast known price · as of 2026-10-19 20:12 UTC | $92.24 |
Change SWK's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
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What does Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. do?
What does it do?
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. provides hand tools, power tools, outdoor products, and related accessories in the United States, Canada, Other Americas, Europe, and Asia. It operates in the Tools & Accessories industry (Industrials sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 41,000 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $15.1B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $8 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 8.4%), after a 32% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 4.1% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks mixed: carries modest debt (0.6× equity), can just cover its short-term bills (1.4× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at SWK filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laschinger Mary A | Director | Grant / award | $2,207.97 | Form 4 for Laschinger Mary A (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Mitchell Adrian V | Director | Grant / award | $10,383.97 | Form 4 for Mitchell Adrian V (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Hankin Michael David | Director | Grant / award | $12,619.98 | Form 4 for Hankin Michael David (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| GARRISON JOHN L JR | Director | Grant / award | $5,083.90 | Form 4 for GARRISON JOHN L JR (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| CARTER SUSAN K | Director | Grant / award | $7,056.90 | Form 4 for CARTER SUSAN K (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| OKelly Shane M | Director | Grant / award | $2,207.97 | Form 4 for OKelly Shane M (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is SWK's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's valuation lenses put Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) between $50.32 and $198.69 per share, versus a market price of $92.24. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value, so we publish the range.
Is SWK overvalued or undervalued?
At $92.24 the price sits inside a range too wide to call either way. We don't call SWK overvalued or undervalued from a range this wide. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for SWK?
A WACC of 9.3% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Stanley Black & Decker stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair-value range for Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) is $50.32 – $198.69 against a market price of $92.24. Too wide to call. We publish a range here, not one number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair-value range for Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) is $50.32 – $198.69, built on a 9.3% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Stanley Black & Decker stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of −5.6% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 2.8% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $92.24. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK): Laschinger Mary A, Director, grant / award on 2026-09-22. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
Other ways into the coverage
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.