Skip to content

UBS · bank / insurer · bank model (justified price-to-book)

UBS Group AG (UBS): Valuation Snapshot

UBS Group AG (UBS) is a bank, insurer or other financial, and a discounted-cash-flow model is the wrong lens for one, so TickerWorth does not publish a DCF fair value for it. Its bank model puts it at about $35.95 a share against $47.17. Snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026.

Model by · generated from public market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made

How is a bank like UBS valued?

We don’t publish a DCF for this company

This is a bank / insurer / financial. A free-cash-flow DCF is structurally the wrong lens here (their debt and float are raw material, not financing), so we don't publish one. Instead we value it with a bank model — justified price-to-book, (ROE − g) ÷ (cost of equity − g), on a return on equity of 10.7% and a cost of equity of 9.1% — at about $35.95 a share ($31.23–$42.34 for a cost of equity one point either way), against a price of $47.17.

A dividend-discount cross-check gives about $17.03, shown as a reference only. Every input is listed with its source; it is a model estimate, not a price target.

Bank model (justified price-to-book)

The bank model's value, with the band for cost of equity ±1% (8.1%–10.1%), against the delayed market price.

Our bank model’s estimate: about $35.95 (range $31.23 to $42.34), against a price of $47.17. It is not a DCF and not a price target.

Value = book value per share × (ROE − g) ÷ (cost of equity − g). The range is for a cost of equity ±1% (8.1%–10.1%).

InputValueSource
Book value per share$29.12yfinance, latest reported book value per share
Return on equity10.7%yfinance, trailing twelve months
Risk-free rate5.1%US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX)
Beta0.86×yfinance 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500
Equity risk premium4.7%house equity risk premium (same as every DCF)
Cost of equity9.1%computed — risk-free + beta × equity risk premium (CAPM)
Payout ratio37.4%yfinance payout ratio (trailing dividends ÷ earnings)
Long-run growth2.5%ESTIMATEROE × retention (6.7%), capped at the house long-run rate 2.5%
Justified price-to-book1.23×computed — (ROE − g) ÷ (cost of equity − g)

Dividend-discount cross-check: about $17.03, reference only — a low payout means most of the return comes from buybacks and retained growth, which a dividend model cannot see.

A model estimate from public data, with every input shown — not a price target and not advice. Bank returns on equity revert over time and this model holds today's for good.

When we tested this family of bank models on past data, none ranked banks better than plain price-to-book. Treat it as one formula's estimate, not a verdict.

What is UBS's TickerWorth Score?

C51/100

Middle of the pack — real strengths and real weaknesses

Compared with Financial Services companies in US

Its strongest point: growing quickly. Its weakest: profitability is weak.

  • Value · 55 of 100

    Cheaper than 55% of Financial Services companies in US

  • Price vs worth · 45 of 100
  • Quality · 38 of 100

    More profitable than 38% of Financial Services companies in US

  • Financial health · 53 of 100

    Financially stronger than 53% of Financial Services companies in US

  • Growth · 64 of 100

    Growing faster than 64% of Financial Services companies in US

  • Momentum · 57 of 100

    Outperformed 57% of Financial Services companies in US over the past year

Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored

Get the Undervalued Company of the Week.

The Weekly Undervalued

The Undervalued Company of the Week, with its fair-value range and the growth its price implies. We'll email you when the weekly list starts. Not advice or trading calls.

Price
$47.17
Market cap
$144,422,371,328
52-week high
$55.98
52-week low
$36.30
Currency
USD
Exchange
NYSE

Snapshot of Oct 19, 2026, quote time not published · Prices are delayed.

What we can say

UBS Group AG (UBS) is a bank, insurer or other financial, and a free-cash-flow discounted-cash-flow (DCF) model is structurally the wrong lens for it: for these businesses debt and float are raw material, not financing. So we value it the way a bank is valued — on the return it earns on its book equity. Our bank model (justified price-to-book) puts it at about $35.95 a share, between $31.23 and $42.34 for a cost of equity one point either side of 9.1%, against $47.17 today.

Read the full reasoning

Every input is listed with its source. It is a model estimate, not a price target, and not investment advice.

On the numbers we do have, UBS trades at a recent price of $47.17, a market capitalisation of about $144,422,371,328, sitting 55% of the way up its 52-week range ($36.30–$55.98), on the NYSE.

The standard alternative to a DCF is relative valuation — comparing UBS's trading multiples against a sector benchmark. Here that gives P/E of 16.0× (richer than the peer median of 14.2×); Fwd P/E of 11.6× (cheaper than the peer median of 13.3×); P/B of 1.6× (cheaper than the peer median of 2.6×); P/S of 2.7× (cheaper than the peer median of 4.7×); Dividend yield of 2.3% (cheaper than the peer median of 1.9%). A cheaper multiple than peers can flag a discount or a market that expects weaker growth; it is a comparison, not a recommendation.

The asset, or book-value, lens is the classic tool for asset-heavy businesses and financials. UBS shows a price-to-book (P/B) of 1.62 and book value of $29.12 per share. Price-to-book compares the market price to the accounting net-asset value per share; below 1.0 can mean a discount to net assets or that the market is pricing in trouble — descriptive either way, never a buy signal on its own.

Finally, a price-based read — explicitly not a valuation. UBS is in a mixed trend, trading -15.7% from its 52-week high. Over the past year the stock is +24.3%. Moving-average trend and 52-week position describe where the stock has traded; they say nothing about what it is worth.

To be exact about what this page is not: we are not saying the numbers for UBS are unavailable. They are, and they are above. We are saying a discounted-cash-flow model is the wrong instrument for this kind of business, and publishing one anyway — because the inputs happen to exist — would be a precise answer to the wrong question. Refusing is the more useful answer, and it is the same rule we apply to every name in this category.

UBS vs peers

Sector benchmark (bellwethers, not direct competitors).

MultipleUBSPeer medianRead
P/E16.0×14.2×richer than
Fwd P/E11.6×13.3×cheaper than
P/B1.6×2.6×cheaper than
P/S2.7×4.7×cheaper than
Dividend yield2.3%1.9%cheaper than

What does UBS Group AG do?

What does it do?

UBS Group AG operates as a wealth manager and bank worldwide. It operates through five segments: Global Wealth Management, Personal & Corporate Banking, Asset Management, Investment Bank, and Non-Core and Legacy. It operates in the Banks - Diversified industry (Financial Services sector), headquartered in Switzerland. The company employs roughly 99,085 people.

How does it make money?

The business turns $53.0B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $31 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 31.0%), after a 0% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 17.9% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.

Is it financially healthy?

Financially it looks mixed: is currently profitable.

UBS insider trading

We have no recent SEC Form 4 insider filings on file for UBS Group AG. Form 4 covers US-listed companies only.

Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.

A descriptive, available-data snapshot and relative comparison — NOT a DCF, NOT a price target, and NOT investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public market data that can be wrong, stale or incomplete.