ANZ.AX · Intrinsic value
Is ANZ Group Holdings Limited (ANZ.AX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 19, 2026, TickerWorth publishes a fair-value range of A$33.96 – A$33.96 for ANZ Group Holdings Limited (ANZ.AX), against the delayed market price of A$39.29: priced above our range. It is a range, not a single number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. It is a model estimate; every input is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
What is ANZ.AX worth?
- Fair-value range
- A$33.96 – A$33.96
- Market price
- A$39.29
- Gap to fair value
- —
- Verdict
- Priced above our range
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of −13.1% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 0.9% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is ANZ.AX's TickerWorth Score?
Scores lower than most companies we compare it with
Compared with Financial Services companies in Australia
Its strongest point: recent price trend has been strong. Its weakest: growth is slow or negative.
- Value · 39 of 100
Cheaper than 39% of Financial Services companies worldwide
- Price vs worth · 39 of 100
- Quality · 47 of 100
More profitable than 47% of Financial Services companies worldwide
- Financial health · 59 of 100
Financially stronger than 59% of Financial Services companies worldwide
- Growth · 31 of 100
Growing faster than 31% of Financial Services companies worldwide
- Momentum · 74 of 100
Outperformed 74% of Financial Services companies worldwide over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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Why ANZ.AX gets a range, not one number
At a recent price of A$39.29, ANZ Group Holdings Limited (ANZ.AX) sits above every lens we ran: our valuation lenses put the business somewhere between A$33.96 and A$33.96 per share. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value. We publish the range rather than a midpoint because a number that precise would claim more than the methods can support. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
The valuation discounts ANZ Group Holdings Limited's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 6.3%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 83% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly -13.1% annual revenue growth for ANZ.AX. Our base case instead compounds to about 0.9% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in slower growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, ANZ.AX's modeled DCF value ranges from about A$47.17 to A$199.19 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what ANZ Group Holdings Limited would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of ANZ.AX's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind ANZ.AX's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueLive feed — totalRevenue (TTM) | A$21,516,000,000 |
| Base EBIT marginComputed — trailing operatingMargins, held roughly flat | 48.8% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | -2% → -1% → 1% → 2% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.1% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.56 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesLive feed — sharesOutstanding | 3,011M |
| Market priceLive feed — delayed quote · as of 2026-10-19T19:28:40+00:00 | A$39.29 |
Change ANZ.AX's assumptions
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What does ANZ Group Holdings Limited do?
What does it do?
ANZ Group Holdings Limited engages in the provision of banking and financial products and services to retail and business customers in Australia and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Personal, Business & Agri, and Institutional. It operates in the Banks - Diversified industry (Financial Services sector), headquartered in Australia. The company employs roughly 40,072 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $21.5B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $49 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 48.8%), after a 0% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 27.4% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks solid: is currently profitable.
ANZ.AX insider trading
Insider filings are available for US-listed companies only.
Common questions
What is ANZ.AX's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's valuation lenses put ANZ Group Holdings Limited (ANZ.AX) between A$33.96 and A$33.96 per share, versus a market price of A$39.29. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value, so we publish the range.
Is ANZ.AX overvalued or undervalued?
At A$39.29 the price sits above every lens we ran. We don't call ANZ.AX overvalued or undervalued from a range this wide. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for ANZ.AX?
A WACC of 6.3% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is ANZ Group stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair-value range for ANZ Group Holdings Limited (ANZ.AX) is A$33.96 – A$33.96 against a market price of A$39.29. Priced above our range. We publish a range here, not one number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
ANZ Group (ANZ.AX) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair-value range for ANZ Group Holdings Limited (ANZ.AX) is A$33.96 – A$33.96, built on a 6.3% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into ANZ Group stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of −13.1% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 0.9% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of A$39.29. A model estimate, not investment advice.
ANZ Group (ANZ.AX) insider trading
We have no recent SEC Form 4 insider filings on file for ANZ Group Holdings Limited (ANZ.AX). Form 4 covers US-listed companies only.
Other ways into the coverage
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.