ARCB · Intrinsic value
Is ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 21, 2026, TickerWorth publishes a fair-value range of $63.72 – $235.70 for ArcBest Corporation (ARCB), against the delayed market price of $129.99: priced within our range. It is a range, not a single number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from SEC filings and market data · Updated Oct 21, 2026 · How these pages are made
What is ARCB worth?
- Fair-value range
- $63.72 – $235.70
- Market price
- $129.99
- Gap to fair value
- —
- Verdict
- Priced within our range
Reverse DCF, on our cash-flow model rather than the range above: Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast.
What is ARCB's TickerWorth Score?
Middle of the pack — real strengths and real weaknesses
Compared with Industrials companies in US
Its strongest point: growing quickly. Its weakest: profitability is weak.
- Value · 64 of 100
Cheaper than 64% of Industrials companies in US
- Price vs worth · 23 of 100
- Quality · 13 of 100
More profitable than 13% of Industrials companies in US
- Financial health · 58 of 100
Financially stronger than 58% of Industrials companies in US
- Growth · 80 of 100
Growing faster than 80% of Industrials companies in US
- Momentum · 74 of 100
Outperformed 74% of Industrials companies in US over the past year
Confidence: Low confidence · Scored
Get the Undervalued Company of the Week.
Why ARCB gets a range, not one number
At a recent price of $129.99, ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) sits inside our range of estimates: our valuation lenses put the business somewhere between $63.72 and $235.70 per share. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value. We publish the range rather than a midpoint because a number that precise would claim more than the methods can support. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
The valuation discounts ArcBest Corporation's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 11.2%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 69% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — ARCB would need sustained revenue growth of more than 25%/yr to justify today's price, against about 9.9% a year compounded in our base case. We don't quote a precise figure here, because past about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative: it solves for revenue growth alone, holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed, so a price well above our fair value has nowhere to go but growth. The honest reading is that the price implies growth this model can't reconcile — not that we forecast it.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, ARCB's modeled DCF value ranges from about $36.34 to $65.29 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what ArcBest Corporation would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of ARCB's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind ARCB's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueARCBEST CORPORATION FY2025 10-K (accession 0001104659-26-019699): us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, FY2025 full year. | $4,010,160,000 |
| Base EBIT marginARCBEST CORPORATION FY2025 10-K (accession 0001104659-26-019699): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 90,309,000 / revenue 4,010,158,000 = 2.25%, FY2025. | 2.2% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 16% → 13% → 10% → 7% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 4.7% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 1.56 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesARCBEST CORPORATION FY2025 10-K (accession 0001104659-26-019699): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 22,933,107 shares, FY2025. | 23M |
| Market priceBackup price feed · as of 2026-10-21 00:09 UTC | $129.99 |
Change ARCB's assumptions
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What does ArcBest Corporation do?
What does it do?
ArcBest Corporation, an integrated logistics company, provides ground, air, and ocean transportation solutions worldwide. It operates in two segments, Asset-Based and Asset-Light. It operates in the Trucking industry (Industrials sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 14,000 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $4.0B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $5 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 5.4%), after a 8% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 0.4% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks stretched: carries modest debt (0.4× equity), may struggle to cover its short-term bills (1.0× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at ARCB filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parks Jason T | VP - Controller(1) | Open-market sale | $115,501.95 | Form 4 for Parks Jason T (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Sorg Ralph Edward | Chief Commercial Officer | Gift | — | Form 4 for Sorg Ralph Edward (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Anderson Dennis L II | Chief Innovation Officer | Open-market sale | $451,409.89 | Form 4 for Anderson Dennis L II (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Anderson Dennis L II | Chief Innovation Officer | Open-market sale | $285,229.89 | Form 4 for Anderson Dennis L II (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Anderson Dennis L II | Chief Innovation Officer | Gift | — | Form 4 for Anderson Dennis L II (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| MCREYNOLDS JUDY R | Director | Open-market sale | $397,065.86 | Form 4 for MCREYNOLDS JUDY R (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is ARCB's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's valuation lenses put ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) between $63.72 and $235.70 per share, versus a market price of $129.99. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value, so we publish the range.
Is ARCB overvalued or undervalued?
At $129.99 the price sits inside our range of estimates. We don't call ARCB overvalued or undervalued from a range this wide. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for ARCB?
A WACC of 11.2% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is ArcBest stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair-value range for ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) is $63.72 – $235.70 against a market price of $129.99. Priced within our range. We publish a range here, not one number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
ArcBest (ARCB) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair-value range for ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) is $63.72 – $235.70, built on a 11.2% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into ArcBest stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $129.99. A model estimate, not investment advice.
ArcBest (ARCB) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for ArcBest Corporation (ARCB): Parks Jason T, VP - Controller(1), open-market sale on 2026-09-15. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
Other ways into the coverage
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.
Save this valuation
ARCB goes on your watchlist, where its valuation is re-run as new filings land — so you read the current number, not the one from today.