BSL.AX · Intrinsic value
Is BlueScope Steel Limited (BSL.AX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 19, 2026, TickerWorth's valuation lenses put BlueScope Steel Limited (BSL.AX) at A$10.81 – A$68.17, too broad a range to say where the delayed market price of A$32.50 sits in it, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
What is BSL.AX worth?
- Fair-value range
- A$10.81 – A$68.17
- Market price
- A$32.50
- Gap to fair value
- —
- Verdict
- Too wide to call
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast.
What is BSL.AX's TickerWorth Score?
Middle of the pack — real strengths and real weaknesses
Compared with Basic Materials companies in Australia
Its strongest point: recent price trend has been strong. Its weakest: profitability is weak.
- Value · 60 of 100
Cheaper than 60% of Basic Materials companies worldwide
- Price vs worth · 42 of 100
- Quality · 31 of 100
More profitable than 31% of Basic Materials companies worldwide
- Financial health · 68 of 100
Financially stronger than 68% of Basic Materials companies worldwide
- Growth · 37 of 100
Growing faster than 37% of Basic Materials companies worldwide
- Momentum · 93 of 100
Outperformed 93% of Basic Materials companies worldwide over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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Why BSL.AX gets a range, not one number
At a recent price of A$32.50, BlueScope Steel Limited (BSL.AX) sits inside a range too wide to call either way: our valuation lenses put the business somewhere between A$10.81 and A$68.17 per share. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value. We publish the range rather than a midpoint because a number that precise would claim more than the methods can support. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
The valuation discounts BlueScope Steel Limited's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 10.4%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 69% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — BSL.AX would need sustained revenue growth of more than 25%/yr to justify today's price, against about 2.3% a year compounded in our base case. We don't quote a precise figure here, because past about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative: it solves for revenue growth alone, holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed, so a price well above our fair value has nowhere to go but growth. The honest reading is that the price implies growth this model can't reconcile — not that we forecast it.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, BSL.AX's modeled DCF value ranges from about A$8.15 to A$15.92 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what BlueScope Steel Limited would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of BSL.AX's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind BSL.AX's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueLive feed — totalRevenue (TTM) | A$16,662,600,000 |
| Base EBIT marginComputed — trailing operatingMargins, held roughly flat | 6.9% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 1% → 1% → 2% → 3% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.2% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 1.22 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesLive feed — sharesOutstanding | 438M |
| Market priceLast known price · as of 2026-10-19 19:27 UTC | A$32.50 |
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What does BlueScope Steel Limited do?
What does it do?
BlueScope Steel Limited engages in the production and marketing of metal-coated and painted steel building products in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, North America, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Australian Steel Products, North Star BlueScope Steel, Buildings and Coated Products North America, Coated Products Asia, and New Zealand & Pacific Islands. It operates in the Steel industry (Basic Materials sector), headquartered in Australia. The company employs roughly 15,800 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $16.7B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $7 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 6.9%), after a 40% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 4.8% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks solid: carries modest debt (0.2× equity), comfortably covers its short-term bills (1.9× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
BSL.AX insider trading
Insider filings are available for US-listed companies only.
Common questions
What is BSL.AX's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's valuation lenses put BlueScope Steel Limited (BSL.AX) between A$10.81 and A$68.17 per share, versus a market price of A$32.50. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value, so we publish the range.
Is BSL.AX overvalued or undervalued?
At A$32.50 the price sits inside a range too wide to call either way. We don't call BSL.AX overvalued or undervalued from a range this wide. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for BSL.AX?
A WACC of 10.4% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is BlueScope Steel stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair-value range for BlueScope Steel Limited (BSL.AX) is A$10.81 – A$68.17 against a market price of A$32.50. Too wide to call. We publish a range here, not one number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
BlueScope Steel (BSL.AX) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair-value range for BlueScope Steel Limited (BSL.AX) is A$10.81 – A$68.17, built on a 10.4% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into BlueScope Steel stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of A$32.50. A model estimate, not investment advice.
BlueScope Steel (BSL.AX) insider trading
We have no recent SEC Form 4 insider filings on file for BlueScope Steel Limited (BSL.AX). Form 4 covers US-listed companies only.
Other ways into the coverage
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.