CHRD · Intrinsic value
Is Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) overvalued or undervalued?
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) trades at the delayed market price of $154.56 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of 9.2% a year for 5 years. TickerWorth's fair value is $205.63 a share (priced within our range of $110.56 – $271.54). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from SEC filings and market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
Is CHRD fairly valued?
- Fair value
- $205.63
- Market price
- $154.56
- Upside to fair value
- +33.0%
- Verdict
- Priced within our range of $110.56 – $271.54
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 9.2% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 16.6% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is CHRD's TickerWorth Score?
Scores higher than almost every company we compare it with
Compared with Energy companies in US
Its strongest point: looks cheap on the numbers. Its weakest: profitability is weak.
- Value · 84 of 100
Cheaper than 84% of Energy companies in US
- Price vs worth · 76 of 100
- Quality · 47 of 100
More profitable than 47% of Energy companies in US
- Financial health · 78 of 100
Financially stronger than 78% of Energy companies in US
- Growth · 71 of 100
Growing faster than 71% of Energy companies in US
- Momentum · 80 of 100
Outperformed 80% of Energy companies in US over the past year
Confidence: High confidence · Scored
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CHRD DCF valuation, input by input
TickerWorth's fair value for Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) is $205.63 a share, against the delayed market price of $154.56 (priced within our range of $110.56 – $271.54). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values CHRD at about $200.84 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.
The valuation discounts Chord Energy Corporation's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 7.1%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 86% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is unusually high — most of the answer comes from a single assumption about the far future, so treat this figure as low-confidence and lean on the multiples alongside it.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 9.2% annual revenue growth for CHRD. Our base case instead compounds to about 16.6% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in slower growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, CHRD's modeled DCF value ranges from about $122.58 to $461.74 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Chord Energy Corporation would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of CHRD's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind CHRD's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueChord Energy Corporation FY2025 10-K (accession 0001486159-26-000005): us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, FY2025 full year. | $4,877,130,000 |
| Base EBIT marginChord Energy Corporation FY2025 10-K (accession 0001486159-26-000005): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 197,425,000 / revenue 4,877,126,000 = 4.05%, FY2025. | 4.0% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 30% → 24% → 17% → 10% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.2% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.47 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesChord Energy Corporation FY2025 10-K (accession 0001486159-26-000005): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 57,852,000 shares, FY2025. | 58M |
| Market priceBackup price feed · as of 2026-10-19 12:31 UTC | $154.56 |
Change CHRD's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
ProChange growth, margin and WACC yourself — Pro (7-day free trial, card required).
What does Chord Energy Corporation do?
What does it do?
Chord Energy Corporation operates as an independent exploration and production company in the United States. The company engages in the acquisition, exploration, development and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Williston Basin. It operates in the Oil & Gas E&P industry (Energy sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 676 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $6.0B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $35 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 34.7%), after a 48% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 14.2% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks mixed: carries modest debt (0.2× equity), can just cover its short-term bills (1.2× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at CHRD filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McKinney Samantha | Director | Open-market sale | $935,875.00 | Form 4 for McKinney Samantha (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| McKinney Samantha | Director | Open-market sale | $526,050.00 | Form 4 for McKinney Samantha (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Brown Daniel E | Director, President and CEO | Open-market sale | $98,478.72 | Form 4 for Brown Daniel E (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Brown Daniel E | Director, President and CEO | Open-market sale | $921,978.00 | Form 4 for Brown Daniel E (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Brown Daniel E | Director, President and CEO | Open-market sale | $622,109.32 | Form 4 for Brown Daniel E (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Brown Daniel E | Director, President and CEO | Open-market sale | $430,512.84 | Form 4 for Brown Daniel E (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is CHRD's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's blended fair value for Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) is $205.63 per share, versus a market price of $154.56 (priced within our range of $110.56 – $271.54).
Is CHRD overvalued or undervalued?
Priced within our range of $110.56 – $271.54 at $154.56. We don't call CHRD overvalued or undervalued from a range. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for CHRD?
A WACC of 7.1% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Chord Energy stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair value for Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) is $205.63 against a market price of $154.56. Our read: Priced within our range of $110.56 – $271.54. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Chord Energy (CHRD) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair value for Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) is $205.63, built on a 7.1% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Chord Energy stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of 9.2% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 16.6% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $154.56. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Chord Energy (CHRD) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD): McKinney Samantha, Director, open-market sale on 2026-09-01. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.