CTC-A.TO · Intrinsic value
Is Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited (CTC-A.TO) overvalued or undervalued?
Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited (CTC-A.TO) trades at the delayed market price of CA$202.87 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of −0.8% a year for 5 years. TickerWorth's fair value is CA$248.25 a share (priced within our range of CA$132.72 – CA$361.89). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
Is CTC-A.TO fairly valued?
- Fair value
- CA$248.25
- Market price
- CA$202.87
- Upside to fair value
- +22.4%
- Verdict
- Priced within our range of CA$132.72 – CA$361.89
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of −0.8% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 3.2% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is CTC-A.TO's TickerWorth Score?
Middle of the pack — real strengths and real weaknesses
Compared with Consumer Cyclical companies in Canada
Its strongest point: recent price trend has been strong. Its weakest: balance sheet looks stretched.
- Value · 59 of 100
Cheaper than 59% of Consumer Cyclical companies worldwide
- Price vs worth · 64 of 100
- Quality · 37 of 100
More profitable than 37% of Consumer Cyclical companies worldwide
- Financial health · 30 of 100
Financially stronger than 30% of Consumer Cyclical companies worldwide
- Growth · 52 of 100
Growing faster than 52% of Consumer Cyclical companies worldwide
- Momentum · 94 of 100
Outperformed 94% of Consumer Cyclical companies worldwide over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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CTC-A.TO DCF valuation, input by input
TickerWorth's fair value for Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited (CTC-A.TO) is CA$248.25 a share, against the delayed market price of CA$202.87 (priced within our range of CA$132.72 – CA$361.89). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values CTC-A.TO at about C$286.77 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.
The valuation discounts Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 7.4%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 79% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly -0.8% annual revenue growth for CTC-A.TO. Our base case instead compounds to about 3.2% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in slower growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, CTC-A.TO's modeled DCF value ranges from about C$126.01 to C$777.31 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of CTC-A.TO's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind CTC-A.TO's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueLive feed — totalRevenue (TTM) | C$16,530,700,000 |
| Base EBIT marginComputed — trailing operatingMargins, held roughly flat | 8.8% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 2% → 3% → 3% → 4% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.1% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.90 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesLive feed — sharesOutstanding | 49M |
| Market priceLast known price · as of 2026-10-19 17:48 UTC | C$202.87 |
Change CTC-A.TO's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
ProChange growth, margin and WACC yourself — Pro (7-day free trial, card required).
What does Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited do?
What does it do?
Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited provides a range of retail goods and services in Canada. It operates through three segments: Retail, CT REIT, and Financial Services. It operates in the Specialty Retail industry (Consumer Cyclical sector), headquartered in Canada. The company employs roughly 11,877 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $16.5B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $9 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 8.8%), after a 32% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 4.1% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks mixed: carries moderate debt (1.7× equity), comfortably covers its short-term bills (1.9× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
CTC-A.TO insider trading
Insider filings are available for US-listed companies only.
Common questions
What is CTC-A.TO's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's blended fair value for Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited (CTC-A.TO) is CA$248.25 per share, versus a market price of CA$202.87 (priced within our range of CA$132.72 – CA$361.89).
Is CTC-A.TO overvalued or undervalued?
Priced within our range of CA$132.72 – CA$361.89 at CA$202.87. We don't call CTC-A.TO overvalued or undervalued from a range. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for CTC-A.TO?
A WACC of 7.4% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Canadian Tire stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair value for Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited (CTC-A.TO) is CA$248.25 against a market price of CA$202.87. Our read: Priced within our range of CA$132.72 – CA$361.89. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Canadian Tire (CTC-A.TO) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair value for Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited (CTC-A.TO) is CA$248.25, built on a 7.4% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Canadian Tire stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of −0.8% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 3.2% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of CA$202.87. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Canadian Tire (CTC-A.TO) insider trading
We have no recent SEC Form 4 insider filings on file for Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited (CTC-A.TO). Form 4 covers US-listed companies only.
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.