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Is DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) overvalued or undervalued?

Updated Sep 3, 2026 · researched from SEC filings · educational, not advice

Fair-value range
$86.74 – $837.67
Market price
$137.34
Gap to fair value
Verdict
Price inside a range too wide to call either way

Test the assumptions — move the discount rate

The DCF value below is a real engine result at each WACC (not a re-estimate). Drag to see how sensitive DKS's DCF is to the discount rate.

Market price: $137.34

At a recent price of $137.34, DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) sits inside a range too wide to call either way: our valuation lenses put the business somewhere between $86.74 and $837.67 per share, and they disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value. We publish the range rather than a midpoint because a number that precise would claim more than the methods can support. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.

The valuation discounts DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 8.4%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 80% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.

Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly -3.7% annual revenue growth for DKS. Our base case instead assumes about 17.0% average growth over the forecast, so the market is pricing in slower growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.

Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, DKS's modeled DCF value ranges from about $221.83 to $510.94 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.

How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of DKS's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.

The assumptions behind DKS's DCF

InputValueSource
Base-year revenue$17,215,120,000DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001089063-26-000007): us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, FY2025 full year.
Base EBIT margin6.4%DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001089063-26-000007): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 1,095,909,000 / revenue 17,215,120,000 = 6.37%, FY2025.
Forecast revenue growth30% → 24% → 17% → 10% → 4%Assumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast
Risk-free rate4.8%Live feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX)
Beta1.19Live feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5)
Terminal growth2.5%Assumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC
Diluted shares85MDICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001089063-26-000007): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 85,144,000 shares, FY2025.
Market price$137.34Delayed quote · as of 2026-09-03 08:07 UTC

Researched from filings: the base year comes from this company's latest SEC 10-K (XBRL); forward growth and terminal value remain algorithmic estimates, cached and refreshed periodically.

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Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is an educational DCF tool, not a licensed investment adviser. Figures are estimates derived from public filings and market data and can be wrong.