ENSG · Intrinsic value
Is The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG) overvalued or undervalued?
The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG) trades at the delayed market price of $176.63 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of 10.8% a year for 5 years. TickerWorth's fair value is $143.59 a share (23% above fair value), as of Oct 19, 2026. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from SEC filings and market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
Is ENSG overvalued?
- Fair value
- $143.59
- Market price
- $176.63
- Downside to fair value
- 18.7%
- Verdict
- 23% above fair value
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 10.8% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 10.3% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is ENSG's TickerWorth Score?
Scores lower than most companies we compare it with
Compared with Healthcare companies in US
Its strongest point: looks cheap on the numbers. Its weakest: balance sheet looks stretched.
- Value · 52 of 100
Cheaper than 52% of Healthcare companies in US
- Price vs worth · 35 of 100
- Quality · 43 of 100
More profitable than 43% of Healthcare companies in US
- Financial health · 22 of 100
Financially stronger than 22% of Healthcare companies in US
- Growth · 53 of 100
Growing faster than 53% of Healthcare companies in US
- Momentum · 40 of 100
Outperformed 40% of Healthcare companies in US over the past year
Confidence: High confidence · Scored
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ENSG DCF valuation: what the price assumes
At a recent price of $176.63, The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG) trades 23% above TickerWorth's blended fair value of $143.59 per share — a discounted-cash-flow model cross-checked against peer multiples and asset value — meaning the market currently prices ENSG overvalued vs our estimate of what the business is intrinsically worth. Our fair value sits below the market, an implied -18.7% move to close the gap if the business performs in line with our assumptions. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation — the value moves with the inputs, which you can test yourself using the WACC slider below.
Read the full reasoning
One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values ENSG at about $170.71 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.
The valuation discounts The Ensign Group, Inc.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 7.5%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 80% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 10.8% annual revenue growth for ENSG. Our base case instead compounds to about 10.3% a year over the same forecast, so the market's implied growth is broadly in line with our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, ENSG's modeled DCF value ranges from about $118.87 to $324.30 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what The Ensign Group, Inc. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of ENSG's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind ENSG's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueENSIGN GROUP, INC FY2025 10-K (accession 0001125376-26-000007): us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, FY2025 full year. | $5,032,120,000 |
| Base EBIT marginENSIGN GROUP, INC FY2025 10-K (accession 0001125376-26-000007): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 425,306,000 / revenue 5,032,118,000 = 8.45%, FY2025. | 8.5% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 17% → 14% → 10% → 7% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 4.8% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.69 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesENSIGN GROUP, INC FY2025 10-K (accession 0001125376-26-000007): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 58,873,000 shares, FY2025. | 59M |
| Market priceBackup price feed · as of 2026-10-19 13:20 UTC | $176.63 |
Change ENSG's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
ProChange growth, margin and WACC yourself — Pro (7-day free trial, card required).
What does The Ensign Group, Inc. do?
What does it do?
The Ensign Group, Inc. provides skilled nursing, senior living, and rehabilitative services. It operates in the Medical Care Facilities industry (Healthcare sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 46,000 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $5.5B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $9 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 9.0%), after a 17% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 6.9% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks mixed: carries modest debt (0.9× equity), can just cover its short-term bills (1.2× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at ENSG filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uychiat Pison Marivic | Director | Gift | — | Form 4 for Uychiat Pison Marivic (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Burton Spencer | President and COO | Gift | — | Form 4 for Burton Spencer (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Blouin Ann Scott | Director | Open-market sale | $31,829.00 | Form 4 for Blouin Ann Scott (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Blouin Ann Scott | Director | Open-market sale | $37,000.00 | Form 4 for Blouin Ann Scott (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Agwunobi John O | Director | Open-market sale | $67,055.52 | Form 4 for Agwunobi John O (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Parkinson Mark Vincent | Director | Open-market sale | $16,812.00 | Form 4 for Parkinson Mark Vincent (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is ENSG's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's blended fair value for The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG) is $143.59 per share, versus a market price of $176.63 (23% above fair value).
Is ENSG overvalued or undervalued?
On our blended fair value ENSG looks overvalued vs fair value at $176.63. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for ENSG?
A WACC of 7.5% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is The Ensign Group stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair value for The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG) is $143.59 against a market price of $176.63. Our read: 23% above fair value. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
The Ensign Group (ENSG) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair value for The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG) is $143.59, built on a 7.5% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into The Ensign Group stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of 10.8% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 10.3% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $176.63. A model estimate, not investment advice.
The Ensign Group (ENSG) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG): Uychiat Pison Marivic, Director, gift on 2026-09-10. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
Stocks below our fair value instead
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.