EOG · Intrinsic value
Is EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) overvalued or undervalued?
EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) trades at the delayed market price of $158.01 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of −4.1% a year for 5 years. TickerWorth's fair value is $291.67 a share (priced within our range of $119.95 – $410.70). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from SEC filings and market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
Is EOG fairly valued?
- Fair value
- $291.67
- Market price
- $158.01
- Upside to fair value
- +84.6%
- Verdict
- Priced within our range of $119.95 – $410.70
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of −4.1% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 16.6% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is EOG's TickerWorth Score?
Scores higher than almost every company we compare it with
Compared with Energy companies in US
Its strongest point: trades below our estimate of what it's worth. Its weakest: looks expensive on the numbers.
- Value · 49 of 100
Cheaper than 49% of Energy companies in US
- Price vs worth · 100 of 100
- Quality · 75 of 100
More profitable than 75% of Energy companies in US
- Financial health · 85 of 100
Financially stronger than 85% of Energy companies in US
- Growth · 66 of 100
Growing faster than 66% of Energy companies in US
- Momentum · 77 of 100
Outperformed 77% of Energy companies in US over the past year
Confidence: High confidence · Scored
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EOG DCF valuation, input by input
TickerWorth's fair value for EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) is $291.67 a share, against the delayed market price of $158.01 (priced within our range of $119.95 – $410.70). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values EOG at about $410.70 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.
The valuation discounts EOG Resources, Inc.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 6.9%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 84% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly -4.1% annual revenue growth for EOG. Our base case instead compounds to about 16.6% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in slower growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, EOG's modeled DCF value ranges from about $263.13 to $953.68 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what EOG Resources, Inc. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of EOG's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind EOG's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueEOG RESOURCES, INC. FY2025 10-K (accession 0000821189-26-000054): us-gaap:Revenues, FY2025 full year. | $22,632,000,000 |
| Base EBIT marginEOG RESOURCES, INC. FY2025 10-K (accession 0000821189-26-000054): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 6,385,000,000 / revenue 22,632,000,000 = 28.21%, FY2025. | 28.2% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 30% → 24% → 17% → 10% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.1% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.40 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesEOG RESOURCES, INC. FY2025 10-K (accession 0000821189-26-000054): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 546,000,000 shares, FY2025. | 546M |
| Market priceDelayed quote · as of 2026-10-19 12:30 UTC | $158.01 |
Change EOG's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
ProChange growth, margin and WACC yourself — Pro (7-day free trial, card required).
What does EOG Resources, Inc. do?
What does it do?
EOG Resources, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, explores for, develops, produces, and markets crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas in producing basins in the United States, the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago, and internationally. The company also offers crude oil and condensate, and gathering, processing and marketing. It operates in the Oil & Gas E&P industry (Energy sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 3,400 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $26.7B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $41 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 40.7%), after a 63% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 25.7% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks solid: carries modest debt (0.3× equity), comfortably covers its short-term bills (1.9× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at EOG filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leitzell Jeffrey R. | EVP & COO | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Leitzell Jeffrey R. (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Leitzell Jeffrey R. | EVP & COO | Open-market sale | $1,270,973.79 | Form 4 for Leitzell Jeffrey R. (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Distefano Laura B. | VP & CAO | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Distefano Laura B. (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Donaldson Michael P | EVP & Chief Legal Officer | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Donaldson Michael P (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Yacob Ezra Y | Director, Chairman & CEO | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Yacob Ezra Y (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Yacob Ezra Y | Director, Chairman & CEO | Shares withheld (tax) | $1,830,735.92 | Form 4 for Yacob Ezra Y (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is EOG's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's blended fair value for EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) is $291.67 per share, versus a market price of $158.01 (priced within our range of $119.95 – $410.70).
Is EOG overvalued or undervalued?
Priced within our range of $119.95 – $410.70 at $158.01. We don't call EOG overvalued or undervalued from a range. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for EOG?
A WACC of 6.9% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is EOG Resources stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair value for EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) is $291.67 against a market price of $158.01. Our read: Priced within our range of $119.95 – $410.70. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
EOG Resources (EOG) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair value for EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) is $291.67, built on a 6.9% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into EOG Resources stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of −4.1% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 16.6% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $158.01. A model estimate, not investment advice.
EOG Resources (EOG) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG): Leitzell Jeffrey R., EVP & COO, grant / award on 2026-09-25. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.