FANG · Intrinsic value
Is Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 19, 2026, TickerWorth's valuation lenses put Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) at $88.05 – $352.32, too broad a range to say where the delayed market price of $203.95 sits in it, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from SEC filings and market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
What is FANG worth?
- Fair-value range
- $88.05 – $352.32
- Market price
- $203.95
- Gap to fair value
- —
- Verdict
- Too wide to call
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 4.7% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 16.6% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is FANG's TickerWorth Score?
Scores higher than most companies we compare it with
Compared with Energy companies in US
Its strongest point: growing quickly. Its weakest: balance sheet looks stretched.
- Value · 48 of 100
Cheaper than 48% of Energy companies in US
- Price vs worth · 64 of 100
- Quality · 53 of 100
More profitable than 53% of Energy companies in US
- Financial health · 41 of 100
Financially stronger than 41% of Energy companies in US
- Growth · 81 of 100
Growing faster than 81% of Energy companies in US
- Momentum · 65 of 100
Outperformed 65% of Energy companies in US over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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Why FANG gets a range, not one number
At a recent price of $203.95, Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) sits inside a range too wide to call either way: our valuation lenses put the business somewhere between $88.05 and $352.32 per share. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value. We publish the range rather than a midpoint because a number that precise would claim more than the methods can support. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
The valuation discounts Diamondback Energy, Inc.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 7.3%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 87% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is unusually high — most of the answer comes from a single assumption about the far future, so treat this figure as low-confidence and lean on the multiples alongside it.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 4.7% annual revenue growth for FANG. Our base case instead compounds to about 16.6% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in slower growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, FANG's modeled DCF value ranges from about $211.94 to $802.98 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Diamondback Energy, Inc. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of FANG's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind FANG's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueDiamondback Energy, Inc. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001539838-26-000010): us-gaap:Revenues, FY2025 full year. | $15,026,000,000 |
| Base EBIT marginDiamondback Energy, Inc. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001539838-26-000010): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 1,266,000,000 / revenue 15,026,000,000 = 8.43%, FY2025. | 8.4% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 30% → 24% → 17% → 10% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.1% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.54 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesDiamondback Energy, Inc. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001539838-26-000010): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 289,079,000 shares, FY2025. | 289M |
| Market priceBackup price feed · as of 2026-10-19 12:31 UTC | $203.95 |
Change FANG's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
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What does Diamondback Energy, Inc. do?
What does it do?
Diamondback Energy, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, acquires, develops, explores, and exploits unconventional, onshore oil and natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas, the United States. The company primarily focuses on the development of the Spraberry and Wolfcamp formations of the Midland Basin; and the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware Basin, both of which are part of the Permian Basin in West Texas and New Mexico. It operates in the Oil & Gas E&P industry (Energy sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 1,762 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $16.2B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $48 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 48.5%), after a 72% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 9.0% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks stretched: carries modest debt (0.3× equity), may struggle to cover its short-term bills (0.5× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at FANG filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meloy Charles Alvin | Director | Open-market sale | $3,755,632.92 | Form 4 for Meloy Charles Alvin (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Meloy Charles Alvin | Director | Open-market sale | $1,193,614.23 | Form 4 for Meloy Charles Alvin (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Meloy Charles Alvin | Director | Open-market sale | $1,175,429.00 | Form 4 for Meloy Charles Alvin (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| SGF FANG Holdings, LP | 10% owner | Open-market sale | $1,863,694,090.50 | Form 4 for SGF FANG Holdings, LP (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| SGF FANG Holdings, LP | 10% owner | Open-market sale | $1,863,694,090.50 | Form 4 for SGF FANG Holdings, LP (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Meloy Charles Alvin | Director | Gift | — | Form 4 for Meloy Charles Alvin (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is FANG's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's valuation lenses put Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) between $88.05 and $352.32 per share, versus a market price of $203.95. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value, so we publish the range.
Is FANG overvalued or undervalued?
At $203.95 the price sits inside a range too wide to call either way. We don't call FANG overvalued or undervalued from a range this wide. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for FANG?
A WACC of 7.3% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Diamondback Energy stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair-value range for Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) is $88.05 – $352.32 against a market price of $203.95. Too wide to call. We publish a range here, not one number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Diamondback Energy (FANG) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair-value range for Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) is $88.05 – $352.32, built on a 7.3% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Diamondback Energy stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of 4.7% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 16.6% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $203.95. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Diamondback Energy (FANG) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG): Meloy Charles Alvin, Director, open-market sale on 2026-10-05. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
Other ways into the coverage
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.