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Is Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) overvalued or undervalued?

Updated Sep 3, 2026 · researched from SEC filings · educational, not advice

Fair value
$51.63
Market price
$47.95
Upside to fair value
+7.7%
Verdict
8% below fair value

Test the assumptions — move the discount rate

The DCF value below is a real engine result at each WACC (not a re-estimate). Drag to see how sensitive FND's DCF is to the discount rate.

Market price: $47.95

At a recent price of $47.95, Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) trades 8% below TickerWorth's blended fair value of $51.63 per share — a discounted-cash-flow model cross-checked against peer multiples and asset value — meaning the market currently prices FND undervalued vs our estimate of what the business is intrinsically worth. Our fair value sits above the market, an implied +7.7% move to close the gap if the business performs in line with our assumptions. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation — the value moves with the inputs, which you can test yourself using the WACC slider below.

One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values FND at about $24.93 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.

The valuation discounts Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 10.3%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 73% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.

Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 22.9% annual revenue growth for FND. Our base case instead assumes about 6.6% average growth over the forecast, so the market is pricing in materially faster growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.

Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, FND's modeled DCF value ranges from about $19.32 to $35.83 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.

How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of FND's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.

The assumptions behind FND's DCF

InputValueSource
Base-year revenue$4,684,090,000Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001628280-26-009770): us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, FY2025 full year.
Base EBIT margin5.8%Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001628280-26-009770): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 270,070,000 / revenue 4,684,088,000 = 5.77%, FY2025.
Forecast revenue growth9% → 8% → 7% → 5% → 4%Assumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast
Risk-free rate4.8%Live feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX)
Beta1.57Live feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5)
Terminal growth2.5%Assumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC
Diluted shares108MFloor & Decor Holdings, Inc. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001628280-26-009770): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 108,419,000 shares, FY2025.
Market price$47.95Delayed quote · as of 2026-09-03 08:06 UTC

Researched from filings: the base year comes from this company's latest SEC 10-K (XBRL); forward growth and terminal value remain algorithmic estimates, cached and refreshed periodically.

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Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is an educational DCF tool, not a licensed investment adviser. Figures are estimates derived from public filings and market data and can be wrong.