HO.PA · Intrinsic value
Is Thales S.A. (HO.PA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 21, 2026, TickerWorth's valuation lenses put Thales S.A. (HO.PA) at €57.94 – €284.20, too broad a range to say where the delayed market price of €232.00 sits in it, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from market data · Updated Oct 21, 2026 · How these pages are made
What is HO.PA worth?
- Fair-value range
- €57.94 – €284.20
- Market price
- €232.00
- Gap to fair value
- —
- Verdict
- Too wide to call
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 16.0% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 5.3% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is HO.PA's TickerWorth Score?
Expensive vs our estimate — the business scores well
Compared with Industrials companies in Europe
Its strongest point: strong balance sheet. Its weakest: recent price trend has been weak.
- Value · 44 of 100
Cheaper than 44% of Industrials companies in Europe
- Price vs worth · 26 of 100
- Quality · 42 of 100
More profitable than 42% of Industrials companies in Europe
- Financial health · 62 of 100
Financially stronger than 62% of Industrials companies in Europe
- Growth · 50 of 100
Growing faster than 50% of Industrials companies in Europe
- Momentum · 13 of 100
Outperformed 13% of Industrials companies in Europe over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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Why HO.PA gets a range, not one number
At a recent price of €232.00, Thales S.A. (HO.PA) sits inside a range too wide to call either way: our valuation lenses put the business somewhere between €57.94 and €284.20 per share. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value.
Read the full reasoning
We publish the range rather than a midpoint because a number that precise would claim more than the methods can support. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
The valuation discounts Thales S.A.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 9.4%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 73% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 16.0% annual revenue growth for HO.PA. Our base case instead compounds to about 5.3% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in materially faster growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, HO.PA's modeled DCF value ranges from about €112.21 to €228.53 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Thales S.A. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of HO.PA's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind HO.PA's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueLive feed — totalRevenue (TTM) | €22,820,500,000 |
| Base EBIT marginComputed — trailing operatingMargins, held roughly flat | 10.3% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 7% → 6% → 5% → 5% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.1% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 1.00 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesLive feed — sharesOutstanding | 206M |
| Market priceLast known price · as of 2026-10-21 04:17 UTC | €232.00 |
Change HO.PA's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
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What does Thales S.A. do?
What does it do?
Thales S.A. provides various solutions in the defence and security, aerospace and space, and digital identity and security markets worldwide. It operates in the Aerospace & Defense industry (Industrials sector), headquartered in France. The company employs roughly 79,263 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns 22.8B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $10 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 10.3%), after a 27% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 6.6% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks mixed: carries modest debt (0.7× equity), may struggle to cover its short-term bills (0.8× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
HO.PA insider trading
Insider filings are available for US-listed companies only.
Common questions
What is HO.PA's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's valuation lenses put Thales S.A. (HO.PA) between €57.94 and €284.20 per share, versus a market price of €232.00. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value, so we publish the range.
Is HO.PA overvalued or undervalued?
At €232.00 the price sits inside a range too wide to call either way. We don't call HO.PA overvalued or undervalued from a range this wide. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for HO.PA?
A WACC of 9.4% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Thales stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair-value range for Thales S.A. (HO.PA) is €57.94 – €284.20 against a market price of €232.00. Too wide to call. We publish a range here, not one number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Thales (HO.PA) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair-value range for Thales S.A. (HO.PA) is €57.94 – €284.20, built on a 9.4% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Thales stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of 16.0% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 5.3% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of €232.00. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Thales (HO.PA) insider trading
We have no recent SEC Form 4 insider filings on file for Thales S.A. (HO.PA). Form 4 covers US-listed companies only.
Other ways into the coverage
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.
Save this valuation
HO.PA goes on your watchlist, where its valuation is re-run as new filings land — so you read the current number, not the one from today.