JCI · Intrinsic value
Is Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 21, 2026, TickerWorth publishes a fair-value range of $20.17 – $136.40 for Johnson Controls International plc (JCI), against the delayed market price of $147.94: priced above our range. It is a range, not a single number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. It is a model estimate; every input is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from SEC filings and market data · Updated Oct 21, 2026 · How these pages are made
What is JCI worth?
- Fair-value range
- $20.17 – $136.40
- Market price
- $147.94
- Gap to fair value
- —
- Verdict
- Priced above our range
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast.
What is JCI's TickerWorth Score?
Scores lower than most companies we compare it with
Compared with Industrials companies in US
Its strongest point: recent price trend has been strong. Its weakest: trades above our estimate of what it's worth.
- Value · 35 of 100
Cheaper than 35% of Industrials companies in US
- Price vs worth · 13 of 100
- Quality · 58 of 100
More profitable than 58% of Industrials companies in US
- Financial health · 34 of 100
Financially stronger than 34% of Industrials companies in US
- Growth · 54 of 100
Growing faster than 54% of Industrials companies in US
- Momentum · 91 of 100
Outperformed 91% of Industrials companies in US over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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Why JCI gets a range, not one number
At a recent price of $147.94, Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) sits above every lens we ran: our valuation lenses put the business somewhere between $20.17 and $136.40 per share. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value. We publish the range rather than a midpoint because a number that precise would claim more than the methods can support. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
The valuation discounts Johnson Controls International plc's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 10.6%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 71% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — JCI would need sustained revenue growth of more than 25%/yr to justify today's price, against about 3.8% a year compounded in our base case. We don't quote a precise figure here, because past about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative: it solves for revenue growth alone, holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed, so a price well above our fair value has nowhere to go but growth. The honest reading is that the price implies growth this model can't reconcile — not that we forecast it.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, JCI's modeled DCF value ranges from about $0.05 to $11.00 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Johnson Controls International plc would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of JCI's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind JCI's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueJOHNSON CONTROLS INTERNATIONAL PLC FY2025 10-K (accession 0000833444-25-000097): us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, FY2025 full year. | $23,596,000,000 |
| Base EBIT marginJOHNSON CONTROLS INTERNATIONAL PLC FY2015 10-K (accession 0000833444-15-000091): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 884,000,000 / revenue 23,596,000,000 = 3.75%, FY2025. | 3.8% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 4% → 4% → 4% → 4% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.1% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 1.28 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesJOHNSON CONTROLS INTERNATIONAL PLC FY2025 10-K (accession 0000833444-25-000097): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 654,100,000 shares, FY2025. | 654M |
| Market priceBackup price feed · as of 2026-10-21 00:02 UTC | $147.94 |
Change JCI's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
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What does Johnson Controls International plc do?
What does it do?
Johnson Controls International plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, commissioning, and retrofitting building products and systems in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company designs, manufactures, sells, installs, and services heating, ventilating, air conditioning, controls, building management, refrigeration, integrated electronic security, integrated fire detection and suppression systems, and digital solutions. It operates in the Building Products & Equipment industry (Industrials sector), headquartered in Ireland. The company employs roughly 87,000 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $23.6B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $16 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 15.9%), after a 37% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 14.3% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks mixed: carries modest debt (0.7× equity), can just cover its short-term bills (1.0× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at JCI filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cohade Pierre E | Director | Open-market sale | $487,707.00 | Form 4 for Cohade Pierre E (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Schlitz Lei Zhang | VP & Pres, GP & Solutions | Open-market sale | $3,199,882.66 | Form 4 for Schlitz Lei Zhang (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Schlitz Lei Zhang | VP & Pres, GP & Solutions | Open-market sale | $384,475.00 | Form 4 for Schlitz Lei Zhang (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Vandiepenbeeck Marc | EVP and CFO | Shares withheld (tax) | $2,898,001.60 | Form 4 for Vandiepenbeeck Marc (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Schlitz Lei Zhang | VP & Pres, GP & Solutions | Shares withheld (tax) | $2,731,542.50 | Form 4 for Schlitz Lei Zhang (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Scalia Christopher M | EVP and CHRO | Shares withheld (tax) | $265,934.44 | Form 4 for Scalia Christopher M (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is JCI's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's valuation lenses put Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) between $20.17 and $136.40 per share, versus a market price of $147.94. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value, so we publish the range.
Is JCI overvalued or undervalued?
At $147.94 the price sits above every lens we ran. We don't call JCI overvalued or undervalued from a range this wide. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for JCI?
A WACC of 10.6% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Johnson Controls International stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair-value range for Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) is $20.17 – $136.40 against a market price of $147.94. Priced above our range. We publish a range here, not one number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Johnson Controls International (JCI) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair-value range for Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) is $20.17 – $136.40, built on a 10.6% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Johnson Controls International stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $147.94. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Johnson Controls International (JCI) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for Johnson Controls International plc (JCI): Cohade Pierre E, Director, open-market sale on 2026-08-19. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
Other ways into the coverage
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.
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JCI goes on your watchlist, where its valuation is re-run as new filings land — so you read the current number, not the one from today.