MAIN · Intrinsic value
Is Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) overvalued or undervalued?
Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) trades at the delayed market price of $52.59 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of 10.7% a year for 5 years. TickerWorth's fair value is $43.16 a share (priced within our range of $34.21 – $62.22). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
Is MAIN fairly valued?
- Fair value
- $43.16
- Market price
- $52.59
- Downside to fair value
- 17.9%
- Verdict
- Priced within our range of $34.21 – $62.22
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 10.7% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 4.0% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is MAIN's TickerWorth Score?
Middle of the pack — real strengths and real weaknesses
Compared with Financial Services companies in US
Its strongest point: a profitable, high-quality business. Its weakest: growth is slow or negative.
- Value · 53 of 100
Cheaper than 53% of Financial Services companies in US
- Price vs worth · 30 of 100
- Quality · 89 of 100
More profitable than 89% of Financial Services companies in US
- Financial health · 33 of 100
Financially stronger than 33% of Financial Services companies in US
- Growth · 26 of 100
Growing faster than 26% of Financial Services companies in US
- Momentum · 32 of 100
Outperformed 32% of Financial Services companies in US over the past year
Confidence: High confidence · Scored
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MAIN DCF valuation, input by input
TickerWorth's fair value for Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) is $43.16 a share, against the delayed market price of $52.59 (priced within our range of $34.21 – $62.22). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values MAIN at about $34.21 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.
The valuation discounts Main Street Capital Corporation's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 7.7%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 78% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 10.7% annual revenue growth for MAIN. Our base case instead compounds to about 4.0% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in materially faster growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, MAIN's modeled DCF value ranges from about $15.84 to $85.89 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Main Street Capital Corporation would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of MAIN's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind MAIN's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueLive feed — totalRevenue (TTM) | $575,050,000 |
| Base EBIT marginComputed — trailing operatingMargins, held roughly flat | 60.0% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 4% → 4% → 4% → 4% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.2% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.75 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesLive feed — sharesOutstanding | 94M |
| Market priceLast known price · as of 2026-10-19 19:25 UTC | $52.59 |
Change MAIN's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
ProChange growth, margin and WACC yourself — Pro (7-day free trial, card required).
What does Main Street Capital Corporation do?
What does it do?
Main Street Capital Corporation is a business development company and a small business investment company specializing in direct and indirect investments. In direct investments, the firm specializes in private equity capital to lower middle market companies. It operates in the Asset Management industry (Financial Services sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 110 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $575M in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $87 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 87.2%), after a 100% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 78.5% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks mixed: carries modest debt (0.8× equity), comfortably covers its short-term bills (1.7× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at MAIN filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beauvais Jason B | EVP, GC, SECRETARY | Gift | — | Form 4 for Beauvais Jason B (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Morris Jesse E | EVP AND COO | Open-market sale | $2,049,250.00 | Form 4 for Morris Jesse E (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| McHugh Ryan | VP, CAO & Assistant Treasurer | Other acquisition/disposition | $2,178.92 | Form 4 for McHugh Ryan (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| McHugh Ryan | VP, CAO & Assistant Treasurer | Other acquisition/disposition | $1,837.26 | Form 4 for McHugh Ryan (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Magdol David L. | PRESIDENT, CIO AND SMD | Other acquisition/disposition | $3,581.16 | Form 4 for Magdol David L. (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Magdol David L. | PRESIDENT, CIO AND SMD | Other acquisition/disposition | $3,411.88 | Form 4 for Magdol David L. (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is MAIN's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's blended fair value for Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) is $43.16 per share, versus a market price of $52.59 (priced within our range of $34.21 – $62.22).
Is MAIN overvalued or undervalued?
Priced within our range of $34.21 – $62.22 at $52.59. We don't call MAIN overvalued or undervalued from a range. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for MAIN?
A WACC of 7.7% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Main Street Capital stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair value for Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) is $43.16 against a market price of $52.59. Our read: Priced within our range of $34.21 – $62.22. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Main Street Capital (MAIN) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair value for Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN) is $43.16, built on a 7.7% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Main Street Capital stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of 10.7% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 4.0% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $52.59. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Main Street Capital (MAIN) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN): Beauvais Jason B, EVP, GC, SECRETARY, gift on 2026-09-02. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.