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MONC.MI · Intrinsic value

Is Moncler S.p.A. (MONC.MI) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Oct 19, 2026, TickerWorth's valuation lenses put Moncler S.p.A. (MONC.MI) at €17.85 – €50.25, too broad a range to say where the delayed market price of €42.66 sits in it, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.

Model by · generated from market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made

What is MONC.MI worth?

Live data unavailable
Showing the last price we hold for this listing, recorded 2026-10-19 15:48 UTC (6 hours ago).
Fair-value range
€17.85 – €50.25
Market price
€42.66
Gap to fair value
—
Verdict
Too wide to call
Price as of · Prices are delayed.Our valuation lenses disagree too widely on this company for us to publish a single number, so we publish the range instead. We do not call it over- or undervalued from a spread this wide.
Fair-value range against the delayed market price: Too wide to call.

Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 16.0% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 4.6% a year on average over the same horizon.

What is MONC.MI's TickerWorth Score?

C53/100

Middle of the pack — real strengths and real weaknesses

Compared with Consumer Cyclical companies in Europe

Its strongest point: a profitable, high-quality business. Its weakest: trades above our estimate of what it's worth.

  • Value · 47 of 100

    Cheaper than 47% of Consumer Cyclical companies in Europe

  • Price vs worth · 27 of 100
  • Quality · 81 of 100

    More profitable than 81% of Consumer Cyclical companies in Europe

  • Financial health · 79 of 100

    Financially stronger than 79% of Consumer Cyclical companies in Europe

  • Growth · 49 of 100

    Growing faster than 49% of Consumer Cyclical companies in Europe

  • Momentum · 20 of 100

    Outperformed 20% of Consumer Cyclical companies in Europe over the past year

Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored

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Why MONC.MI gets a range, not one number

At a recent price of €42.66, Moncler S.p.A. (MONC.MI) sits inside a range too wide to call either way: our valuation lenses put the business somewhere between €17.85 and €50.25 per share. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value.

Read the full reasoning

We publish the range rather than a midpoint because a number that precise would claim more than the methods can support. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.

The valuation discounts Moncler S.p.A.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 9.7%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 72% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.

Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 16.0% annual revenue growth for MONC.MI. Our base case instead compounds to about 4.6% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in materially faster growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.

Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, MONC.MI's modeled DCF value ranges from about €20.62 to €40.27 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.

How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Moncler S.p.A. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of MONC.MI's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.

Every input behind MONC.MI's DCF

InputValue
Base-year revenueLive feed — totalRevenue (TTM)€3,196,380,000
Base EBIT marginComputed — trailing operatingMargins, held roughly flat19.0%
Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast5% → 5% → 5% → 4% → 4%
Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX)5.1%
BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5)1.08
Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC2.5%
Diluted sharesLive feed — sharesOutstanding272M
Market priceLast known price · as of 2026-10-19 21:42 UTC€42.66

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What does Moncler S.p.A. do?

What does it do?

Moncler S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and distribution of garments, children's clothing, footwear, eyewear and other related accessories under the Moncler and Stone Island brands. It also provides leather goods; bags, backpacks, and accessories; and glasses. It operates in the Apparel Manufacturing industry (Consumer Cyclical sector), headquartered in Italy. The company employs roughly 8,032 people.

How does it make money?

The business turns 3.2B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $19 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 19.0%), after a 78% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 20.0% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.

Is it financially healthy?

Financially it looks solid: carries modest debt (0.3× equity), comfortably covers its short-term bills (2.3× current ratio), and is currently profitable.

MONC.MI insider trading

Insider filings are available for US-listed companies only.

Common questions

  • What is MONC.MI's intrinsic value?

    TickerWorth's valuation lenses put Moncler S.p.A. (MONC.MI) between €17.85 and €50.25 per share, versus a market price of €42.66. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value, so we publish the range.

  • Is MONC.MI overvalued or undervalued?

    At €42.66 the price sits inside a range too wide to call either way. We don't call MONC.MI overvalued or undervalued from a range this wide. This is an educational estimate, not advice.

  • What discount rate is used for MONC.MI?

    A WACC of 9.7% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.

  • Is Moncler S.p.A. stock undervalued?

    TickerWorth's fair-value range for Moncler S.p.A. (MONC.MI) is €17.85 – €50.25 against a market price of €42.66. Too wide to call. We publish a range here, not one number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.

  • Moncler S.p.A. (MONC.MI) DCF valuation and fair value

    Our fair-value range for Moncler S.p.A. (MONC.MI) is €17.85 – €50.25, built on a 9.7% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.

  • What growth is priced into Moncler S.p.A. stock?

    Today's price implies revenue growth of 16.0% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 4.6% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of €42.66. A model estimate, not investment advice.

  • Moncler S.p.A. (MONC.MI) insider trading

    We have no recent SEC Form 4 insider filings on file for Moncler S.p.A. (MONC.MI). Form 4 covers US-listed companies only.

Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.

Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.