MTSI · Intrinsic value
Is MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) overvalued or undervalued?
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) trades at the delayed market price of $276.09 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. TickerWorth's fair value is $118.13 a share (134% above fair value), as of Oct 19, 2026. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from SEC filings and market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
Is MTSI overvalued?
- Fair value
- $118.13
- Market price
- $276.09
- Downside to fair value
- 57.2%
- Verdict
- 134% above fair value
Reverse DCF, on our cash-flow model rather than the fair value above: Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast.
What is MTSI's TickerWorth Score?
Middle of the pack — real strengths and real weaknesses
Compared with Technology companies in US
Its strongest point: growing quickly. Its weakest: looks expensive on the numbers.
- Value · 18 of 100
Cheaper than 18% of Technology companies in US
- Price vs worth · 4 of 100
- Quality · 63 of 100
More profitable than 63% of Technology companies in US
- Financial health · 69 of 100
Financially stronger than 69% of Technology companies in US
- Growth · 84 of 100
Growing faster than 84% of Technology companies in US
- Momentum · 62 of 100
Outperformed 62% of Technology companies in US over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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MTSI DCF valuation: what the price assumes
At a recent price of $276.08, MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) trades 134% above TickerWorth's blended fair value of $118.13 per share. For this company that blend leans on peer multiples: our discounted-cash-flow model holds margins flat and fades growth toward a long-run rate, which systematically understates a business growing this fast, so its figure (about $14.00) is shown as a reference beside the range rather than blended into it. Our estimate sits below the market — read that as a statement about how the market prices MTSI against comparable companies, not as a finding that it is overvalued on cash flow. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
The valuation discounts MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 13.3%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 63% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — MTSI would need sustained revenue growth of more than 25%/yr to justify today's price, against about 12.7% a year compounded in our base case. We don't quote a precise figure here, because past about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative: it solves for revenue growth alone, holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed, so a price well above our fair value has nowhere to go but growth. The honest reading is that the price implies growth this model can't reconcile — not that we forecast it.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, MTSI's modeled DCF value ranges from about $10.74 to $19.19 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of MTSI's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind MTSI's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001493594-25-000054): us-gaap:Revenues, FY2025 full year. | $967,260,000 |
| Base EBIT marginMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001493594-25-000054): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 129,652,000 / revenue 967,258,000 = 13.40%, FY2025. | 13.4% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 22% → 17% → 13% → 8% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.1% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 1.76 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001493594-25-000054): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 73,986,000 shares, FY2025. | 74M |
| Market priceDelayed quote · as of 2026-10-19 16:18 UTC | $276.08 |
Change MTSI's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
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What does MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. do?
What does it do?
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides analog semiconductor solutions for use in wireless and wireline applications across the radio frequency (RF), microwave, millimeter wave, and lightwave spectrum. The company offers a portfolio of standard and custom devices, including integrated circuits, multi-chip modules, diodes, amplifiers, switches and switch limiters, passive and active components, and subsystems. It operates in the Semiconductors industry (Technology sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 2,000 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $1.2B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $23 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 23.3%), after a 57% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 20.7% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks solid: carries modest debt (0.3× equity), comfortably covers its short-term bills (2.3× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at MTSI filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roth Ambra R. | SVP, GC and Secretary | Open-market sale | $195,900.00 | Form 4 for Roth Ambra R. (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Dennehy Robert | Senior VP and COO | Open-market sale | $69,350.40 | Form 4 for Dennehy Robert (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Kober John | Senior VP and CFO | Open-market sale | $509,706.30 | Form 4 for Kober John (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Kober John | Senior VP and CFO | Open-market sale | $129,588.00 | Form 4 for Kober John (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Kober John | Senior VP and CFO | Open-market sale | $292,734.00 | Form 4 for Kober John (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Kober John | Senior VP and CFO | Open-market sale | $163,255.00 | Form 4 for Kober John (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is MTSI's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's blended fair value for MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) is $118.13 per share, versus a market price of $276.08 (134% above fair value).
Is MTSI overvalued or undervalued?
Our cash-flow model understates a business growing this fast, so we don't call MTSI overvalued on it. Against a blend that leans on peer multiples, the price of $276.08 sits 134% above our estimate. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for MTSI?
A WACC of 13.3% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is MACOM Technology Solutions stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair value for MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) is $118.13 against a market price of $276.09. Our read: 134% above fair value. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair value for MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) is $118.13, built on a 13.3% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into MACOM Technology Solutions stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $276.09. A model estimate, not investment advice.
MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI): Roth Ambra R., SVP, GC and Secretary, open-market sale on 2026-10-01. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
Stocks below our fair value instead
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.