NCLH · Intrinsic value
Is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 19, 2026, TickerWorth's valuation lenses put Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) at $9.18 – $51.09, too broad a range to say where the delayed market price of $15.05 sits in it, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from SEC filings and market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
What is NCLH worth?
- Fair-value range
- $9.18 – $51.09
- Market price
- $15.05
- Gap to fair value
- —
- Verdict
- Too wide to call
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 0.7% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 5.0% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is NCLH's TickerWorth Score?
Middle of the pack — real strengths and real weaknesses
Compared with Consumer Cyclical companies in US
Its strongest point: trades below our estimate of what it's worth. Its weakest: balance sheet looks stretched.
- Value · 61 of 100
Cheaper than 61% of Consumer Cyclical companies in US
- Price vs worth · 100 of 100
- Quality · 60 of 100
More profitable than 60% of Consumer Cyclical companies in US
- Financial health · 4 of 100
Financially stronger than 4% of Consumer Cyclical companies in US
- Growth · 51 of 100
Growing faster than 51% of Consumer Cyclical companies in US
- Momentum · 17 of 100
Outperformed 17% of Consumer Cyclical companies in US over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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Why NCLH gets a range, not one number
At a recent price of $15.05, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) sits inside a range too wide to call either way: our valuation lenses put the business somewhere between $9.18 and $51.09 per share. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value. We publish the range rather than a midpoint because a number that precise would claim more than the methods can support. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
The valuation discounts Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 8.4%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 75% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 0.7% annual revenue growth for NCLH. Our base case instead compounds to about 5.0% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in slower growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, NCLH's modeled DCF value ranges from about $13.76 to $34.98 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of NCLH's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind NCLH's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001104659-26-022067): us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerIncludingAssessedTax, FY2025 full year. | $9,827,590,000 |
| Base EBIT marginNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001104659-26-022067): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 1,560,868,000 / revenue 9,827,592,000 = 15.88%, FY2025. | 15.9% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 6% → 6% → 5% → 5% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.2% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 1.96 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001104659-26-022067): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 477,742,311 shares, FY2025. | 478M |
| Market priceBackup price feed · as of 2026-10-19 13:16 UTC | $15.05 |
Change NCLH's assumptions
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What does Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. do?
What does it do?
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a cruise company in North America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It offers itineraries to destinations, such as Europe, Asia, Australia, New Zealand, South America, Africa, Canada, Bermuda, the Caribbean, and Alaska; and inter-island itinerary in Hawaii. It operates in the Travel Services industry (Consumer Cyclical sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 44,500 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $10.2B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $14 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 14.0%), after a 42% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 7.5% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks stretched: carries heavy debt (6.2× equity), may struggle to cover its short-term bills (0.2× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at NCLH filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAGLIUCA STEPHEN G | Director | Open-market buy | $12,371,100.00 | Form 4 for PAGLIUCA STEPHEN G (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| PAGLIUCA STEPHEN G | Director | Open-market buy | $12,621,200.00 | Form 4 for PAGLIUCA STEPHEN G (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| CHIDSEY JOHN | Director, President and CEO | Open-market buy | $2,504,610.00 | Form 4 for CHIDSEY JOHN (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| COHEN JONATHAN Z | Director | Open-market buy | $474,900.00 | Form 4 for COHEN JONATHAN Z (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Cil Jose E. | Director | Open-market buy | $149,100.00 | Form 4 for Cil Jose E. (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Cil Jose E. | Director | Open-market buy | $76,250.00 | Form 4 for Cil Jose E. (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is NCLH's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's valuation lenses put Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) between $9.18 and $51.09 per share, versus a market price of $15.05. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value, so we publish the range.
Is NCLH overvalued or undervalued?
At $15.05 the price sits inside a range too wide to call either way. We don't call NCLH overvalued or undervalued from a range this wide. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for NCLH?
A WACC of 8.4% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Norwegian Cruise Line stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair-value range for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) is $9.18 – $51.09 against a market price of $15.05. Too wide to call. We publish a range here, not one number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair-value range for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) is $9.18 – $51.09, built on a 8.4% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Norwegian Cruise Line stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of 0.7% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 5.0% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $15.05. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH): PAGLIUCA STEPHEN G, Director, open-market buy on 2026-06-02. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
Other ways into the coverage
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.