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NHPC.NS · Intrinsic value

Is NHPC Limited (NHPC.NS) overvalued or undervalued?

NHPC Limited (NHPC.NS) trades at the delayed market price of ₹70.70 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of 4.8% a year for 5 years. TickerWorth's fair value is ₹75.68 a share (priced within our range of ₹37.50 – ₹112.74). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range.

Model by · generated from market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made

Is NHPC.NS fairly valued?

Live data unavailable
Showing the last price we hold for this listing, recorded 2026-10-19 15:50 UTC (6 hours ago).
Fair value
₹75.68
Market price
₹70.70
Upside to fair value
+7.0%
Verdict
Priced within our range of ₹37.50 – ₹112.74
Price as of · Prices are delayed.
Fair value against the delayed market price: Priced within our range of ₹37.50 – ₹112.74.

Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 4.8% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 11.1% a year on average over the same horizon.

What is NHPC.NS's TickerWorth Score?

C53/100

Middle of the pack — real strengths and real weaknesses

Compared with Utilities companies in India

Its strongest point: a profitable, high-quality business. Its weakest: recent price trend has been weak.

  • Value · 59 of 100

    Cheaper than 59% of Utilities companies in India

  • Price vs worth · 54 of 100
  • Quality · 81 of 100

    More profitable than 81% of Utilities companies in India

  • Financial health · 39 of 100

    Financially stronger than 39% of Utilities companies in India

  • Growth · 57 of 100

    Growing faster than 57% of Utilities companies in India

  • Momentum · 0 of 100

    Outperformed almost none of the Utilities companies in India over the past year

Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored

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NHPC.NS DCF valuation, input by input

TickerWorth's fair value for NHPC Limited (NHPC.NS) is ₹75.68 a share, against the delayed market price of ₹70.70 (priced within our range of ₹37.50 – ₹112.74). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.

Read the full reasoning

One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values NHPC.NS at about ₹112.74 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.

The valuation discounts NHPC Limited's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 6.6%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 84% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.

Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 4.8% annual revenue growth for NHPC.NS. Our base case instead compounds to about 11.1% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in slower growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.

Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, NHPC.NS's modeled DCF value ranges from about ₹53.14 to ₹360.08 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.

How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what NHPC Limited would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of NHPC.NS's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.

Every input behind NHPC.NS's DCF

InputValue
Base-year revenueLive feed — totalRevenue (TTM)₹122,098,300,000
Base EBIT marginComputed — trailing operatingMargins, held roughly flat46.0%
Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast18% → 15% → 11% → 8% → 4%
Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX)5.3%
BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5)0.40
Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC2.5%
Diluted sharesLive feed — sharesOutstanding10,045M
Market priceLast known price · as of 2026-10-19 22:18 UTC₹70.70

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What does NHPC Limited do?

What does it do?

NHPC Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, sale, and trading of electricity through hydro, wind, and solar power stations in India and Nepal. It also owns and operates power stations. It operates in the Utilities - Renewable industry (Utilities sector), headquartered in India. The company employs roughly 4,634 people.

How does it make money?

The business turns 122.1B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $46 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 46.0%), after a 93% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 31.1% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.

Is it financially healthy?

Financially it looks stretched: carries moderate debt (1.1× equity), and is currently profitable.

NHPC.NS insider trading

Insider filings are available for US-listed companies only.

Common questions

  • What is NHPC.NS's intrinsic value?

    TickerWorth's blended fair value for NHPC Limited (NHPC.NS) is ₹75.68 per share, versus a market price of ₹70.70 (priced within our range of ₹37.50 – ₹112.74).

  • Is NHPC.NS overvalued or undervalued?

    Priced within our range of ₹37.50 – ₹112.74 at ₹70.70. We don't call NHPC.NS overvalued or undervalued from a range. This is an educational estimate, not advice.

  • What discount rate is used for NHPC.NS?

    A WACC of 6.6% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.

  • Is NHPC stock undervalued?

    TickerWorth's fair value for NHPC Limited (NHPC.NS) is ₹75.68 against a market price of ₹70.70. Our read: Priced within our range of ₹37.50 – ₹112.74. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.

  • NHPC (NHPC.NS) DCF valuation and fair value

    Our fair value for NHPC Limited (NHPC.NS) is ₹75.68, built on a 6.6% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.

  • What growth is priced into NHPC stock?

    Today's price implies revenue growth of 4.8% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 11.1% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of ₹70.70. A model estimate, not investment advice.

  • NHPC (NHPC.NS) insider trading

    We have no recent SEC Form 4 insider filings on file for NHPC Limited (NHPC.NS). Form 4 covers US-listed companies only.

Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.

Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.