PCAR · Intrinsic value
Is PACCAR Inc (PCAR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 19, 2026, TickerWorth's valuation lenses put PACCAR Inc (PCAR) at $51.44 – $154.20, too broad a range to say where the delayed market price of $110.82 sits in it, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
What is PCAR worth?
- Fair-value range
- $51.44 – $154.20
- Market price
- $110.82
- Gap to fair value
- —
- Verdict
- Too wide to call
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 18.0% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 2.2% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is PCAR's TickerWorth Score?
Scores lower than most companies we compare it with
Compared with Industrials companies in US
Its strongest point: strong balance sheet. Its weakest: profitability is weak.
- Value · 58 of 100
Cheaper than 58% of Industrials companies in US
- Price vs worth · 33 of 100
- Quality · 34 of 100
More profitable than 34% of Industrials companies in US
- Financial health · 68 of 100
Financially stronger than 68% of Industrials companies in US
- Growth · 34 of 100
Growing faster than 34% of Industrials companies in US
- Momentum · 38 of 100
Outperformed 38% of Industrials companies in US over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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Why PCAR gets a range, not one number
At a recent price of $110.82, PACCAR Inc (PCAR) sits inside a range too wide to call either way: our valuation lenses put the business somewhere between $51.44 and $154.20 per share. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value. We publish the range rather than a midpoint because a number that precise would claim more than the methods can support. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
The valuation discounts PACCAR Inc's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 9.0%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 74% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 18.0% annual revenue growth for PCAR. Our base case instead compounds to about 2.2% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in materially faster growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, PCAR's modeled DCF value ranges from about $35.37 to $87.32 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what PACCAR Inc would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of PCAR's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind PCAR's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueLive feed — totalRevenue (TTM) | $27,815,800,000 |
| Base EBIT marginComputed — reported operating margin exceeded the EBITDA margin (impossible); held to 9.8% so D&A stays positive | 9.8% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 0% → 1% → 2% → 3% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.3% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.97 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesLive feed — sharesOutstanding | 526M |
| Market priceDelayed quote · as of 2026-10-19 14:01 UTC | $110.82 |
Change PCAR's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
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What does PACCAR Inc do?
What does it do?
PACCAR Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks in the United States, Canada, Australia, Mexico, Europe, Central and South America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services. It operates in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry (Industrials sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 25,900 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $27.8B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $12 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 12.0%), after a 14% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 9.0% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks solid: carries modest debt (0.7× equity), comfortably covers its short-term bills (5.5× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at PCAR filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WALTON MICHAEL K | VICE PRESIDENT/GENERAL COUNSEL | Other acquisition/disposition | $2,386.18 | Form 4 for WALTON MICHAEL K (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Walters William Lance | Vice President | Other acquisition/disposition | $9,151.08 | Form 4 for Walters William Lance (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Rich John N | V.P. & CHIEF TECH. OFFICER | Other acquisition/disposition | $460.92 | Form 4 for Rich John N (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| PIGOTT MARK C | Director, Executive Chairman | Other acquisition/disposition | $61,220.59 | Form 4 for PIGOTT MARK C (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| BANEY KEVIN D | Executive Vice President | Other acquisition/disposition | $2,109.31 | Form 4 for BANEY KEVIN D (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Gryniewicz Craig R | Vice President | Other acquisition/disposition | $2,636.79 | Form 4 for Gryniewicz Craig R (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is PCAR's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's valuation lenses put PACCAR Inc (PCAR) between $51.44 and $154.20 per share, versus a market price of $110.82. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value, so we publish the range.
Is PCAR overvalued or undervalued?
At $110.82 the price sits inside a range too wide to call either way. We don't call PCAR overvalued or undervalued from a range this wide. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for PCAR?
A WACC of 9.0% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is PACCAR stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair-value range for PACCAR Inc (PCAR) is $51.44 – $154.20 against a market price of $110.82. Too wide to call. We publish a range here, not one number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
PACCAR (PCAR) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair-value range for PACCAR Inc (PCAR) is $51.44 – $154.20, built on a 9.0% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into PACCAR stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of 18.0% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 2.2% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $110.82. A model estimate, not investment advice.
PACCAR (PCAR) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for PACCAR Inc (PCAR): WALTON MICHAEL K, VICE PRESIDENT/GENERAL COUNSEL, other acquisition/disposition on 2026-09-02. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
How does PCAR compare with its peers?
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Other ways into the coverage
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.