RCRUY · Intrinsic value
Is Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. (RCRUY) overvalued or undervalued?
Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. (RCRUY) trades at the delayed market price of $23.73 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. TickerWorth's fair value is $10.05 a share (136% above fair value), as of Oct 19, 2026. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
Is RCRUY overvalued?
- Fair value
- $10.05
- Market price
- $23.73
- Downside to fair value
- 57.6%
- Verdict
- 136% above fair value
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast.
What is RCRUY's TickerWorth Score?
A stronger business than most — but not cheap
Compared with Communication Services companies in US
Its strongest point: strong balance sheet. Its weakest: trades above our estimate of what it's worth.
- Value · 58 of 100
Cheaper than 58% of Communication Services companies in US
- Price vs worth · 4 of 100
- Quality · 73 of 100
More profitable than 73% of Communication Services companies in US
- Financial health · 85 of 100
Financially stronger than 85% of Communication Services companies in US
- Growth · 76 of 100
Growing faster than 76% of Communication Services companies in US
- Momentum · 100 of 100
Outperformed virtually every one of the Communication Services companies in US over the past year
Confidence: High confidence · Scored
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RCRUY DCF valuation: what the price assumes
At a recent price of $23.73, Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. (RCRUY) trades 136% above TickerWorth's blended fair value of $10.05 per share — a discounted-cash-flow model cross-checked against peer multiples and asset value — meaning the market currently prices RCRUY overvalued vs our estimate of what the business is intrinsically worth. Our fair value sits below the market, an implied -57.6% move to close the gap if the business performs in line with our assumptions. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation — the value moves with the inputs, which you can test yourself using the WACC slider below.
Read the full reasoning
One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values RCRUY at about $11.49 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.
The valuation discounts Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 9.7%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 73% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — RCRUY would need sustained revenue growth of more than 25%/yr to justify today's price, against about 11.3% a year compounded in our base case. We don't quote a precise figure here, because past about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative: it solves for revenue growth alone, holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed, so a price well above our fair value has nowhere to go but growth. The honest reading is that the price implies growth this model can't reconcile — not that we forecast it.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, RCRUY's modeled DCF value ranges from about $8.88 to $16.84 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of RCRUY's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind RCRUY's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueLive feed — totalRevenue (TTM) | $24,441,830,000 |
| Base EBIT marginComputed — reported operating margin exceeded the EBITDA margin (impossible); held to 18.7% so D&A stays positive | 18.7% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 19% → 15% → 11% → 8% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.1% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.99 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesLive feed — sharesOutstanding | 6,944M |
| Market priceLast known price · as of 2026-10-19 20:12 UTC | $23.73 |
Change RCRUY's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
ProChange growth, margin and WACC yourself — Pro (7-day free trial, card required).
What does Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. do?
What does it do?
Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. provides HR technology and business solutions that transforms the world of work. It operates in the Internet Content & Information industry (Communication Services sector), headquartered in Japan. The company employs roughly 45,586 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $3.9T in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $24 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 24.4%), after a 60% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 15.0% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks solid: carries modest debt (0.1× equity), comfortably covers its short-term bills (2.1× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
RCRUY insider trading
Insider filings are available for US-listed companies only.
Common questions
What is RCRUY's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's blended fair value for Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. (RCRUY) is $10.05 per share, versus a market price of $23.73 (136% above fair value).
Is RCRUY overvalued or undervalued?
On our blended fair value RCRUY looks overvalued vs fair value at $23.73. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for RCRUY?
A WACC of 9.7% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Recruit stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair value for Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. (RCRUY) is $10.05 against a market price of $23.73. Our read: 136% above fair value. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Recruit (RCRUY) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair value for Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. (RCRUY) is $10.05, built on a 9.7% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Recruit stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $23.73. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Recruit (RCRUY) insider trading
We have no recent SEC Form 4 insider filings on file for Recruit Holdings Co., Ltd. (RCRUY). Form 4 covers US-listed companies only.
Stocks below our fair value instead
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.