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SOFI · Intrinsic value

Is SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) overvalued or undervalued?

SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) trades at the delayed market price of $14.55 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. TickerWorth's fair value is $9.10 a share (60% above fair value), as of Oct 19, 2026. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.

Model by · generated from market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made

Is SOFI overvalued?

Live data unavailable
Showing the last price we hold for this listing, recorded 2026-10-19 15:56 UTC (6 hours ago).
Fair value
$9.10
Market price
$14.55
Downside to fair value
37.5%
Verdict
60% above fair value
Price as of · Prices are delayed.
Fair value against the delayed market price: 60% above fair value.

Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast.

What is SOFI's TickerWorth Score?

D40/100

Expensive vs our estimate — the business scores well

Compared with Financial Services companies in US

Its strongest point: growing quickly. Its weakest: recent price trend has been weak.

  • Value · 34 of 100

    Cheaper than 34% of Financial Services companies in US

  • Price vs worth · 20 of 100
  • Quality · 35 of 100

    More profitable than 35% of Financial Services companies in US

  • Financial health · 56 of 100

    Financially stronger than 56% of Financial Services companies in US

  • Growth · 82 of 100

    Growing faster than 82% of Financial Services companies in US

  • Momentum · 3 of 100

    Outperformed 3% of Financial Services companies in US over the past year

Confidence: High confidence · Scored

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SOFI DCF valuation: what the price assumes

At a recent price of $14.55, SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) trades 60% above TickerWorth's blended fair value of $9.10 per share — a discounted-cash-flow model cross-checked against peer multiples and asset value — meaning the market currently prices SOFI overvalued vs our estimate of what the business is intrinsically worth. Our fair value sits below the market, an implied -37.5% move to close the gap if the business performs in line with our assumptions. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation — the value moves with the inputs, which you can test yourself using the WACC slider below.

Read the full reasoning

One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values SOFI at about $6.91 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.

The valuation discounts SoFi Technologies, Inc.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 14.2%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 62% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.

Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — SOFI would need sustained revenue growth of more than 25%/yr to justify today's price, against about 16.6% a year compounded in our base case. We don't quote a precise figure here, because past about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative: it solves for revenue growth alone, holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed, so a price well above our fair value has nowhere to go but growth. The honest reading is that the price implies growth this model can't reconcile — not that we forecast it.

Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, SOFI's modeled DCF value ranges from about $5.79 to $8.61 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.

How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what SoFi Technologies, Inc. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of SOFI's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.

Every input behind SOFI's DCF

InputValue
Base-year revenueLive feed — totalRevenue (TTM)$4,268,440,000
Base EBIT marginComputed — trailing operatingMargins, held roughly flat17.0%
Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast30% → 24% → 17% → 10% → 4%
Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX)5.2%
BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5)2.21
Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC2.5%
Diluted sharesLive feed — sharesOutstanding1,292M
Market priceLast known price · as of 2026-10-19 21:43 UTC$14.55

Change SOFI's assumptions

The discount-rate dial and the editable model

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What does SoFi Technologies, Inc. do?

What does it do?

SoFi Technologies, Inc. provides various financial services in the United States, Latin America, Canada, and Hong Kong. It operates in the Credit Services industry (Financial Services sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 6,100 people.

How does it make money?

The business turns $619M in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $17 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 17.0%), after a 84% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 14.9% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.

Is it financially healthy?

Financially it looks mixed: carries modest debt (0.3× equity), can just cover its short-term bills (1.1× current ratio), and is currently profitable.

Who at SOFI filed insider trades?

Recent insider filings for SoFi Technologies, Inc.
DateInsiderRelationshipWhat happenedValueFiling
Keough KelliEVP, GBUL, SIPSOpen-market sale$173,310.20Form 4 for Keough Kelli (opens sec.gov in a new tab)
Rishel JeremyChief Technology OfficerOpen-market sale$325,920.00Form 4 for Rishel Jeremy (opens sec.gov in a new tab)
Keough KelliEVP, GBUL, SIPSShares withheld (tax)$1,140,984.21Form 4 for Keough Kelli (opens sec.gov in a new tab)
Lavet Robert SGeneral CounselShares withheld (tax)$249,059.51Form 4 for Lavet Robert S (opens sec.gov in a new tab)
Pinto ArunChief Risk OfficerShares withheld (tax)$204,548.80Form 4 for Pinto Arun (opens sec.gov in a new tab)
Rishel JeremyChief Technology OfficerShares withheld (tax)$721,398.25Form 4 for Rishel Jeremy (opens sec.gov in a new tab)

A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans

Common questions

  • What is SOFI's intrinsic value?

    TickerWorth's blended fair value for SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) is $9.10 per share, versus a market price of $14.55 (60% above fair value).

  • Is SOFI overvalued or undervalued?

    On our blended fair value SOFI looks overvalued vs fair value at $14.55. This is an educational estimate, not advice.

  • What discount rate is used for SOFI?

    A WACC of 14.2% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.

  • Is SoFi Technologies stock undervalued?

    TickerWorth's fair value for SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) is $9.10 against a market price of $14.55. Our read: 60% above fair value. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.

  • SoFi Technologies (SOFI) DCF valuation and fair value

    Our fair value for SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) is $9.10, built on a 14.2% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.

  • What growth is priced into SoFi Technologies stock?

    Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $14.55. A model estimate, not investment advice.

  • SoFi Technologies (SOFI) insider trading

    The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI): Keough Kelli, EVP, GBUL, SIPS, open-market sale on 2026-09-21. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.

Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.

Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.