SSL · Intrinsic value
Is Sasol Limited (SSL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 19, 2026, TickerWorth's valuation lenses put Sasol Limited (SSL) at $10.88 – $57.87, too broad a range to say where the delayed market price of $15.75 sits in it, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from SEC filings and market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
What is SSL worth?
- Fair-value range
- $10.88 – $57.87
- Market price
- $15.75
- Gap to fair value
- —
- Verdict
- Too wide to call
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 11.8% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 7.6% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is SSL's TickerWorth Score?
Scores higher than almost every company we compare it with
Compared with Basic Materials companies in US
Its strongest point: looks cheap on the numbers. Its weakest: profitability is weak.
- Value · 93 of 100
Cheaper than 93% of Basic Materials companies in US
- Price vs worth · 100 of 100
- Quality · 48 of 100
More profitable than 48% of Basic Materials companies in US
- Financial health · 48 of 100
Financially stronger than 48% of Basic Materials companies in US
- Growth · 80 of 100
Growing faster than 80% of Basic Materials companies in US
- Momentum · 100 of 100
Outperformed virtually every one of the Basic Materials companies in US over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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Why SSL gets a range, not one number
At a recent price of $15.75, Sasol Limited (SSL) sits inside a range too wide to call either way: our valuation lenses put the business somewhere between $10.88 and $57.87 per share. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value. We publish the range rather than a midpoint because a number that precise would claim more than the methods can support. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
The valuation discounts Sasol Limited's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 8.1%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 78% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 11.8% annual revenue growth for SSL. Our base case instead compounds to about 7.6% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in materially faster growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, SSL's modeled DCF value ranges from about $6.06 to $23.33 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Sasol Limited would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of SSL's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind SSL's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueSasol Limited FY2025 20-F (accession 0001410578-25-001910): ifrs-full:RevenueFromContractsWithCustomers, FY2025 full year. | $14,860,510,000 |
| Base EBIT marginSasol Limited FY2025 20-F (accession 0001410578-25-001910): ifrs-full:ProfitLossFromOperatingActivities 18,819,000,000 / revenue 247,454,000,000 = 7.61%, FY2025. | 7.6% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 11% → 9% → 8% → 6% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.2% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 1.00 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesSasol Limited FY2025 20-F (accession 0001410578-25-001910): WeightedAverageShares = 638,200,000 shares, FY2025. | 638M |
| Market priceLast known price · as of 2026-10-19 19:24 UTC | $15.75 |
Change SSL's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
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What does Sasol Limited do?
What does it do?
Sasol Limited operates as a chemical and energy company in South Africa, Mozambique, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It offers bitumen, industrial heating fuels, naphtha, lubricants and lubricant base oils, liquefied petroleum gas, automotive and industrial lubricants, greases, cleansers and degreasers, automotive fuels, and burner fuels, as well as illuminating paraffin transport fuels, such as petrol, diesel, and jet fuels. It operates in the Specialty Chemicals industry (Basic Materials sector), headquartered in South Africa. The company employs roughly 26,943 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $272.1B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $23 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 23.1%), after a 44% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 4.5% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks mixed: carries modest debt (0.7× equity), comfortably covers its short-term bills (1.8× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at SSL filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahla Vuyo Dominic | Director, EVP, Commercial and Legal | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Kahla Vuyo Dominic (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Kahla Vuyo Dominic | Director, EVP, Commercial and Legal | Open-market sale | $305,905.20 | Form 4 for Kahla Vuyo Dominic (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Bruns Walt Paul | Director, Chief Financial Officer | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Bruns Walt Paul (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Bruns Walt Paul | Director, Chief Financial Officer | Open-market sale | $25,416.71 | Form 4 for Bruns Walt Paul (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Baloyi Simon | Director, Chief Executive Officer | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Baloyi Simon (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Baloyi Simon | Director, Chief Executive Officer | Open-market sale | $30,010.94 | Form 4 for Baloyi Simon (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is SSL's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's valuation lenses put Sasol Limited (SSL) between $10.88 and $57.87 per share, versus a market price of $15.75. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value, so we publish the range.
Is SSL overvalued or undervalued?
At $15.75 the price sits inside a range too wide to call either way. We don't call SSL overvalued or undervalued from a range this wide. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for SSL?
A WACC of 8.1% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Sasol stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair-value range for Sasol Limited (SSL) is $10.88 – $57.87 against a market price of $15.75. Too wide to call. We publish a range here, not one number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Sasol (SSL) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair-value range for Sasol Limited (SSL) is $10.88 – $57.87, built on a 8.1% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Sasol stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of 11.8% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 7.6% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $15.75. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Sasol (SSL) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for Sasol Limited (SSL): Kahla Vuyo Dominic, Director, EVP, Commercial and Legal, grant / award on 2026-09-28. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
Other ways into the coverage
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.