TEF.MC · Intrinsic value
Is Telefónica, S.A. (TEF.MC) overvalued or undervalued?
Telefónica, S.A. (TEF.MC) trades at the delayed market price of €3.37 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of −5.7% a year for 5 years. TickerWorth's fair value is €7.34 a share (priced within our range of €3.32 – €10.56). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
Is TEF.MC fairly valued?
- Fair value
- €7.34
- Market price
- €3.37
- Upside to fair value
- +117.6%
- Verdict
- Priced within our range of €3.32 – €10.56
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of −5.7% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 4.5% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is TEF.MC's TickerWorth Score?
Middle of the pack — real strengths and real weaknesses
Compared with Communication Services companies in Europe
Its strongest point: trades below our estimate of what it's worth. Its weakest: profitability is weak.
- Value · 70 of 100
Cheaper than 70% of Communication Services companies worldwide
- Price vs worth · 100 of 100
- Quality · 17 of 100
More profitable than 17% of Communication Services companies worldwide
- Financial health · 24 of 100
Financially stronger than 24% of Communication Services companies worldwide
- Growth · — of 100
- Momentum · 17 of 100
Outperformed 17% of Communication Services companies worldwide over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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TEF.MC DCF valuation, input by input
TickerWorth's fair value for Telefónica, S.A. (TEF.MC) is €7.34 a share, against the delayed market price of €3.37 (priced within our range of €3.32 – €10.56). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range.
Read the full reasoning
It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values TEF.MC at about €9.31 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.
The valuation discounts Telefónica, S.A.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 6.1%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 85% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly -5.7% annual revenue growth for TEF.MC. Our base case instead compounds to about 4.5% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in slower growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, TEF.MC's modeled DCF value ranges from about €3.14 to €43.90 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Telefónica, S.A. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of TEF.MC's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind TEF.MC's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueLive feed — totalRevenue (TTM) | €36,239,000,000 |
| Base EBIT marginComputed — trailing operatingMargins, held roughly flat | 9.8% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 5% → 5% → 4% → 4% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.1% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.40 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesLive feed — sharesOutstanding | 5,628M |
| Market priceDelayed quote · as of 2026-10-19 17:04 UTC | €3.37 |
Change TEF.MC's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
ProChange growth, margin and WACC yourself — Pro (7-day free trial, card required).
What does Telefónica, S.A. do?
What does it do?
Telefónica, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications services in Spain, Brazil, Germany, and the United Kingdom. The company offers digital services for residential customers, such as entertainment, home connectivity and security; and advanced solutions for businesses and public administrations, including cloud, cybersecurity, IoT, artificial intelligence, and professional services. It operates in the Telecom Services industry (Communication Services sector), headquartered in Spain. The company employs roughly 74,427 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns 36.2B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $10 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 9.9%), after a 45% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, -9.1% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks stretched: carries heavy debt (2.3× equity), may struggle to cover its short-term bills (0.9× current ratio), and is currently lossmaking.
TEF.MC insider trading
Insider filings are available for US-listed companies only.
Common questions
What is TEF.MC's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's blended fair value for Telefónica, S.A. (TEF.MC) is €7.34 per share, versus a market price of €3.37 (priced within our range of €3.32 – €10.56).
Is TEF.MC overvalued or undervalued?
Priced within our range of €3.32 – €10.56 at €3.37. We don't call TEF.MC overvalued or undervalued from a range. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for TEF.MC?
A WACC of 6.1% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Telefónica stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair value for Telefónica, S.A. (TEF.MC) is €7.34 against a market price of €3.37. Our read: Priced within our range of €3.32 – €10.56. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Telefónica (TEF.MC) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair value for Telefónica, S.A. (TEF.MC) is €7.34, built on a 6.1% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Telefónica stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of −5.7% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 4.5% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of €3.37. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Telefónica (TEF.MC) insider trading
We have no recent SEC Form 4 insider filings on file for Telefónica, S.A. (TEF.MC). Form 4 covers US-listed companies only.
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.