UPL.NS · Intrinsic value
Is UPL Limited (UPL.NS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 19, 2026, TickerWorth's valuation lenses put UPL Limited (UPL.NS) at ₹476.97 – ₹1,540.46, too broad a range to say where the delayed market price of ₹533.45 sits in it, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
What is UPL.NS worth?
- Fair-value range
- ₹476.97 – ₹1,540.46
- Market price
- ₹533.45
- Gap to fair value
- —
- Verdict
- Too wide to call
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 2.8% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 7.2% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is UPL.NS's TickerWorth Score?
Middle of the pack — real strengths and real weaknesses
Compared with Basic Materials companies in India
Its strongest point: trades below our estimate of what it's worth. Its weakest: profitability is weak.
- Value · 77 of 100
Cheaper than 77% of Basic Materials companies in India
- Price vs worth · 100 of 100
- Quality · 14 of 100
More profitable than 14% of Basic Materials companies in India
- Financial health · 30 of 100
Financially stronger than 30% of Basic Materials companies in India
- Growth · 58 of 100
Growing faster than 58% of Basic Materials companies in India
- Momentum · 11 of 100
Outperformed 11% of Basic Materials companies in India over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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Why UPL.NS gets a range, not one number
At a recent price of ₹533.45, UPL Limited (UPL.NS) sits inside a range too wide to call either way: our valuation lenses put the business somewhere between ₹476.97 and ₹1,540 per share. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value. We publish the range rather than a midpoint because a number that precise would claim more than the methods can support. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
The valuation discounts UPL Limited's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 7.0%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 82% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 2.8% annual revenue growth for UPL.NS. Our base case instead compounds to about 7.2% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in slower growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, UPL.NS's modeled DCF value ranges from about ₹401.14 to ₹1,766 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what UPL Limited would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of UPL.NS's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind UPL.NS's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueLive feed — totalRevenue (TTM) | ₹528,040,000,000 |
| Base EBIT marginComputed — trailing operatingMargins, held roughly flat | 6.6% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 10% → 9% → 7% → 6% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.2% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.54 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesLive feed — sharesOutstanding | 844M |
| Market priceLast known price · as of 2026-10-19 13:16 UTC | ₹533.45 |
Change UPL.NS's assumptions
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What does UPL Limited do?
What does it do?
UPL Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pesticides, insecticides, and micronutrients in India, Brazil, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through Crop protection, Seeds & Post-Harvest solutions, and Non-Agro segments. It operates in the Agricultural Inputs industry (Basic Materials sector), headquartered in India. The company employs roughly 12,399 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns 528.0B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $7 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 6.6%), after a 50% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 3.8% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks mixed: carries modest debt (0.6× equity), and is currently profitable.
UPL.NS insider trading
Insider filings are available for US-listed companies only.
Common questions
What is UPL.NS's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's valuation lenses put UPL Limited (UPL.NS) between ₹476.97 and ₹1,540 per share, versus a market price of ₹533.45. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value, so we publish the range.
Is UPL.NS overvalued or undervalued?
At ₹533.45 the price sits inside a range too wide to call either way. We don't call UPL.NS overvalued or undervalued from a range this wide. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for UPL.NS?
A WACC of 7.0% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is UPL stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair-value range for UPL Limited (UPL.NS) is ₹476.97 – ₹1,540.46 against a market price of ₹533.45. Too wide to call. We publish a range here, not one number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
UPL (UPL.NS) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair-value range for UPL Limited (UPL.NS) is ₹476.97 – ₹1,540.46, built on a 7.0% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into UPL stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of 2.8% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 7.2% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of ₹533.45. A model estimate, not investment advice.
UPL (UPL.NS) insider trading
We have no recent SEC Form 4 insider filings on file for UPL Limited (UPL.NS). Form 4 covers US-listed companies only.
Other ways into the coverage
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.