VBL.NS · Intrinsic value
Is Varun Beverages Limited (VBL.NS) overvalued or undervalued?
Varun Beverages Limited (VBL.NS) trades at the delayed market price of ₹420.55 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of 14.7% a year for 5 years. TickerWorth's fair value is ₹308.05 a share (37% above fair value), as of Oct 19, 2026. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
Is VBL.NS overvalued?
- Fair value
- ₹308.05
- Market price
- ₹420.55
- Downside to fair value
- 26.8%
- Verdict
- 37% above fair value
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 14.7% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 12.0% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is VBL.NS's TickerWorth Score?
Middle of the pack — real strengths and real weaknesses
Compared with Consumer Defensive companies in India
Its strongest point: looks cheap on the numbers. Its weakest: trades above our estimate of what it's worth.
- Value · 64 of 100
Cheaper than 64% of Consumer Defensive companies in India
- Price vs worth · 29 of 100
- Quality · 65 of 100
More profitable than 65% of Consumer Defensive companies in India
- Financial health · 52 of 100
Financially stronger than 52% of Consumer Defensive companies in India
- Growth · 55 of 100
Growing faster than 55% of Consumer Defensive companies in India
- Momentum · 48 of 100
Outperformed 48% of Consumer Defensive companies in India over the past year
Confidence: High confidence · Scored
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VBL.NS DCF valuation: what the price assumes
At a recent price of ₹420.55, Varun Beverages Limited (VBL.NS) trades 37% above TickerWorth's blended fair value of ₹308.05 per share — a discounted-cash-flow model cross-checked against peer multiples and asset value — meaning the market currently prices VBL.NS overvalued vs our estimate of what the business is intrinsically worth. Our fair value sits below the market, an implied -26.8% move to close the gap if the business performs in line with our assumptions. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation — the value moves with the inputs, which you can test yourself using the WACC slider below.
Read the full reasoning
One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values VBL.NS at about ₹398.38 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.
The valuation discounts Varun Beverages Limited's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 7.2%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 82% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 14.7% annual revenue growth for VBL.NS. Our base case instead compounds to about 12.0% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in materially faster growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, VBL.NS's modeled DCF value ranges from about ₹264.61 to ₹840.45 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Varun Beverages Limited would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of VBL.NS's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind VBL.NS's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueLive feed — totalRevenue (TTM) | ₹241,264,950,000 |
| Base EBIT marginComputed — reported operating margin exceeded the EBITDA margin (impossible); held to 21.1% so D&A stays positive | 21.1% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 20% → 16% → 12% → 8% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.3% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.40 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesLive feed — sharesOutstanding | 3,382M |
| Market priceLast known price · as of 2026-10-19 20:14 UTC | ₹420.55 |
Change VBL.NS's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
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What does Varun Beverages Limited do?
What does it do?
Varun Beverages Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, bottles, sells, and distributes beverages under the PepsiCo brands in India, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Zambia, Morocco, Zimbabwe, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Mozambique, South Africa, Lesotho, Eswatini, Namibia, and Botswana. The company offers carbonated soft drinks under the Pepsi, Pepsi Zero, Mountain Dew, Mirinda, and Seven-Up brands, as well as the Refreshhh, Coo-ee, and Jive brands; fruit pulp and juice-based drinks under the Slice, Tropicana, Tropicana Delight, and Seven-Up Nimbooz brands; club sodas under the Evervess and Duke's brands; and energy drinks under the Sting, Adrenaline Rush, and Rockstar brands. It operates in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry (Consumer Defensive sector), headquartered in India. The company employs roughly 10,654 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns 241.3B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $24 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 24.1%), after a 55% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 14.0% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks solid: carries modest debt (0.2× equity), comfortably covers its short-term bills (2.0× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
VBL.NS insider trading
Insider filings are available for US-listed companies only.
Common questions
What is VBL.NS's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's blended fair value for Varun Beverages Limited (VBL.NS) is ₹308.05 per share, versus a market price of ₹420.55 (37% above fair value).
Is VBL.NS overvalued or undervalued?
On our blended fair value VBL.NS looks overvalued vs fair value at ₹420.55. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for VBL.NS?
A WACC of 7.2% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Varun Beverages stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair value for Varun Beverages Limited (VBL.NS) is ₹308.05 against a market price of ₹420.55. Our read: 37% above fair value. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Varun Beverages (VBL.NS) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair value for Varun Beverages Limited (VBL.NS) is ₹308.05, built on a 7.2% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Varun Beverages stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of 14.7% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 12.0% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of ₹420.55. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Varun Beverages (VBL.NS) insider trading
We have no recent SEC Form 4 insider filings on file for Varun Beverages Limited (VBL.NS). Form 4 covers US-listed companies only.
Stocks below our fair value instead
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.