WDS.AX · Intrinsic value
Is Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS.AX) overvalued or undervalued?
Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS.AX) trades at the delayed market price of A$34.03 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of 6.9% a year for 5 years. TickerWorth's fair value is A$31.74 a share (priced within our range of A$25.90 – A$34.63). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
Is WDS.AX fairly valued?
- Fair value
- A$31.74
- Market price
- A$34.03
- Downside to fair value
- 6.7%
- Verdict
- Priced within our range of A$25.90 – A$34.63
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 6.9% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 8.5% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is WDS.AX's TickerWorth Score?
Middle of the pack — real strengths and real weaknesses
Compared with Energy companies in Australia
Its strongest point: recent price trend has been strong. Its weakest: growth is slow or negative.
- Value · 42 of 100
Cheaper than 42% of Energy companies worldwide
- Price vs worth · 43 of 100
- Quality · 46 of 100
More profitable than 46% of Energy companies worldwide
- Financial health · 63 of 100
Financially stronger than 63% of Energy companies worldwide
- Growth · 35 of 100
Growing faster than 35% of Energy companies worldwide
- Momentum · 72 of 100
Outperformed 72% of Energy companies worldwide over the past year
Confidence: High confidence · Scored
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WDS.AX DCF valuation, input by input
TickerWorth's fair value for Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS.AX) is A$31.74 a share, against the delayed market price of A$34.03 (priced within our range of A$25.90 – A$34.63). We do not call it over- or undervalued from inside our range. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values WDS.AX at about A$33.85 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.
The valuation discounts Woodside Energy Group Ltd's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 9.0%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 75% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 6.9% annual revenue growth for WDS.AX. Our base case instead compounds to about 8.5% a year over the same forecast, so the market's implied growth is broadly in line with our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, WDS.AX's modeled DCF value ranges from about A$23.23 to A$57.79 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Woodside Energy Group Ltd would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of WDS.AX's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind WDS.AX's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueLive feed — totalRevenue (TTM) | A$19,867,320,000 |
| Base EBIT marginComputed — trailing operatingMargins, held roughly flat | 23.9% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 13% → 11% → 8% → 6% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.3% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 1.00 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesLive feed — sharesOutstanding | 1,901M |
| Market priceLast known price · as of 2026-10-19 22:15 UTC | A$34.03 |
Change WDS.AX's assumptions
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What does Woodside Energy Group Ltd do?
What does it do?
Woodside Energy Group Ltd engages in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing, and sale of hydrocarbons in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and the Europe. It produces liquefied natural gas, pipeline gas, crude oil and condensate, and natural gas liquids. It operates in the Oil & Gas E&P industry (Energy sector), headquartered in Australia. The company employs roughly 4,693 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $13.8B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $24 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 23.9%), after a 35% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 22.2% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks mixed: carries modest debt (0.3× equity), can just cover its short-term bills (1.4× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
WDS.AX insider trading
Insider filings are available for US-listed companies only.
Common questions
What is WDS.AX's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's blended fair value for Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS.AX) is A$31.74 per share, versus a market price of A$34.03 (priced within our range of A$25.90 – A$34.63).
Is WDS.AX overvalued or undervalued?
Priced within our range of A$25.90 – A$34.63 at A$34.03. We don't call WDS.AX overvalued or undervalued from a range. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for WDS.AX?
A WACC of 9.0% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Woodside Energy Group stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair value for Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS.AX) is A$31.74 against a market price of A$34.03. Our read: Priced within our range of A$25.90 – A$34.63. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Woodside Energy Group (WDS.AX) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair value for Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS.AX) is A$31.74, built on a 9.0% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Woodside Energy Group stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of 6.9% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 8.5% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of A$34.03. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Woodside Energy Group (WDS.AX) insider trading
We have no recent SEC Form 4 insider filings on file for Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS.AX). Form 4 covers US-listed companies only.
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.