WES.AX · Intrinsic value
Is Wesfarmers Limited (WES.AX) overvalued or undervalued?
Wesfarmers Limited (WES.AX) trades at the delayed market price of A$78.95 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of 18.4% a year for 5 years. TickerWorth's fair value is A$41.60 a share (90% above fair value), as of Oct 19, 2026. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
Is WES.AX overvalued?
- Fair value
- A$41.60
- Market price
- A$78.95
- Downside to fair value
- 47.3%
- Verdict
- 90% above fair value
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 18.4% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 3.9% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is WES.AX's TickerWorth Score?
Scores lower than almost every company we compare it with
Compared with Consumer Cyclical companies in Australia
Its weakest point: trades above our estimate of what it's worth.
- Value · 32 of 100
Cheaper than 32% of Consumer Cyclical companies worldwide
- Price vs worth · 11 of 100
- Quality · 50 of 100
More profitable than 50% of Consumer Cyclical companies worldwide
- Financial health · 27 of 100
Financially stronger than 27% of Consumer Cyclical companies worldwide
- Growth · 30 of 100
Growing faster than 30% of Consumer Cyclical companies worldwide
- Momentum · 50 of 100
Outperformed 50% of Consumer Cyclical companies worldwide over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
Get the Undervalued Company of the Week.
WES.AX DCF valuation: what the price assumes
At a recent price of A$78.95, Wesfarmers Limited (WES.AX) trades 90% above TickerWorth's blended fair value of A$41.60 per share — a discounted-cash-flow model cross-checked against peer multiples and asset value — meaning the market currently prices WES.AX overvalued vs our estimate of what the business is intrinsically worth. Our fair value sits below the market, an implied -47.3% move to close the gap if the business performs in line with our assumptions. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation — the value moves with the inputs, which you can test yourself using the WACC slider below.
Read the full reasoning
One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values WES.AX at about A$37.06 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.
The valuation discounts Wesfarmers Limited's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 8.6%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 75% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 18.4% annual revenue growth for WES.AX. Our base case instead compounds to about 3.9% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in materially faster growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, WES.AX's modeled DCF value ranges from about A$24.23 to A$67.42 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Wesfarmers Limited would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of WES.AX's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind WES.AX's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueLive feed — totalRevenue (TTM) | A$47,274,000,000 |
| Base EBIT marginComputed — trailing operatingMargins, held roughly flat | 8.2% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 4% → 4% → 4% → 4% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.3% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.79 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesLive feed — sharesOutstanding | 1,135M |
| Market priceLast known price · as of 2026-10-19 21:41 UTC | A$78.95 |
Change WES.AX's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
ProChange growth, margin and WACC yourself — Pro (7-day free trial, card required).
What does Wesfarmers Limited do?
What does it do?
Wesfarmers Limited engages in the retail business in Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. The company sells outdoor living and building materials, as well as home, garden, and lifestyle improvement products; apparel and general merchandise, including toys and consumables, as well as leisure, entertainment, and soft home products; and office products and solutions, such as stationery, technology, furniture, art supplies, and learning and development resources, as well as print and create, and technical support services through its Officeworks stores. It operates in the Home Improvement Retail industry (Consumer Cyclical sector), headquartered in Australia. The company employs roughly 100,000 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $47.3B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $8 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 8.2%), after a 34% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 6.1% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks stretched: carries moderate debt (1.6× equity), can just cover its short-term bills (1.1× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
WES.AX insider trading
Insider filings are available for US-listed companies only.
Common questions
What is WES.AX's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's blended fair value for Wesfarmers Limited (WES.AX) is A$41.60 per share, versus a market price of A$78.95 (90% above fair value).
Is WES.AX overvalued or undervalued?
On our blended fair value WES.AX looks overvalued vs fair value at A$78.95. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for WES.AX?
A WACC of 8.6% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Wesfarmers stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair value for Wesfarmers Limited (WES.AX) is A$41.60 against a market price of A$78.95. Our read: 90% above fair value. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Wesfarmers (WES.AX) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair value for Wesfarmers Limited (WES.AX) is A$41.60, built on a 8.6% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Wesfarmers stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of 18.4% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 3.9% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of A$78.95. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Wesfarmers (WES.AX) insider trading
We have no recent SEC Form 4 insider filings on file for Wesfarmers Limited (WES.AX). Form 4 covers US-listed companies only.
Stocks below our fair value instead
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.