WING · Intrinsic value
Is Wingstop Inc. (WING) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 19, 2026, TickerWorth publishes a fair-value range of $25.53 – $96.56 for Wingstop Inc. (WING), against the delayed market price of $131.81: priced above our range. It is a range, not a single number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from SEC filings and market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
What is WING worth?
- Fair-value range
- $25.53 – $96.56
- Market price
- $131.81
- Gap to fair value
- —
- Verdict
- Priced above our range
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast.
What is WING's TickerWorth Score?
Expensive vs our estimate — the business scores well
Compared with Consumer Cyclical companies in US
Its strongest point: a profitable, high-quality business. Its weakest: looks expensive on the numbers.
- Value · 22 of 100
Cheaper than 22% of Consumer Cyclical companies in US
- Price vs worth · 4 of 100
- Quality · 82 of 100
More profitable than 82% of Consumer Cyclical companies in US
- Financial health · 44 of 100
Financially stronger than 44% of Consumer Cyclical companies in US
- Growth · 56 of 100
Growing faster than 56% of Consumer Cyclical companies in US
- Momentum · 31 of 100
Outperformed 31% of Consumer Cyclical companies in US over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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Why WING gets a range, not one number
At a recent price of $131.81, Wingstop Inc. (WING) sits above every lens we ran: our valuation lenses put the business somewhere between $25.53 and $96.56 per share. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value. We publish the range rather than a midpoint because a number that precise would claim more than the methods can support. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation.
Read the full reasoning
The valuation discounts Wingstop Inc.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 11.0%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 68% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — WING would need sustained revenue growth of more than 25%/yr to justify today's price, against about 5.2% a year compounded in our base case. We don't quote a precise figure here, because past about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative: it solves for revenue growth alone, holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed, so a price well above our fair value has nowhere to go but growth. The honest reading is that the price implies growth this model can't reconcile — not that we forecast it.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, WING's modeled DCF value ranges from about $12.81 to $48.62 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Wingstop Inc. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of WING's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind WING's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueWINGSTOP INC. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001636222-26-000008): us-gaap:Revenues, FY2025 full year. | $696,850,000 |
| Base EBIT marginWINGSTOP INC. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001636222-26-000008): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 179,291,000 / revenue 696,853,000 = 25.73%, FY2025. | 25.7% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 6% → 6% → 5% → 5% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 4.7% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 1.81 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesWINGSTOP INC. FY2025 10-K (accession 0001636222-26-000008): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 28,074,000 shares, FY2025. | 28M |
| Market priceLast known price · as of 2026-10-19 17:43 UTC | $131.81 |
Change WING's assumptions
The discount-rate dial and the editable model
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What does Wingstop Inc. do?
What does it do?
Wingstop Inc., together with its subsidiaries, franchises and operates restaurants under the Wingstop brand in United States, Australia, Bahrain, Kuwait, Puerto Rico, Saudi Arabia, and The Netherlands. Its restaurants provides classic wings, boneless wings, tenders, and hand-sauced-and-tossed in various flavors, as well as chicken sandwiches, fries, and hand-cut carrots and celery that are cooked-to-order. It operates in the Restaurants industry (Consumer Cyclical sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 345 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $697M in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $30 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 29.8%), after a 49% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 16.2% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks mixed: comfortably covers its short-term bills (3.0× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at WING filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snowden Jay A | Director | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Snowden Jay A (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| HISLOP MICHAEL J | Director | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for HISLOP MICHAEL J (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Madati Kilandigalu | Director | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Madati Kilandigalu (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Anand Krishnan | Director | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Anand Krishnan (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Lavelle Kate S | Director | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Lavelle Kate S (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Greco Thomas | Director | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Greco Thomas (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is WING's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's valuation lenses put Wingstop Inc. (WING) between $25.53 and $96.56 per share, versus a market price of $131.81. They disagree too widely for us to state a single fair value, so we publish the range.
Is WING overvalued or undervalued?
At $131.81 the price sits above every lens we ran. We don't call WING overvalued or undervalued from a range this wide. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for WING?
A WACC of 11.0% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Wingstop stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair-value range for Wingstop Inc. (WING) is $25.53 – $96.56 against a market price of $131.81. Priced above our range. We publish a range here, not one number, so we do not call it over- or undervalued. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Wingstop (WING) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair-value range for Wingstop Inc. (WING) is $25.53 – $96.56, built on a 11.0% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Wingstop stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $131.81. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Wingstop (WING) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for Wingstop Inc. (WING): Snowden Jay A, Director, grant / award on 2026-08-06. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
Other ways into the coverage
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.