WY · Intrinsic value
Is Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) overvalued or undervalued?
Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) trades at the delayed market price of $19.20 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of 11.6% a year for 5 years. TickerWorth's dcf fair value is $9.51 a share (102% above fair value), as of Oct 19, 2026. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from SEC filings and market data · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
Is WY overvalued?
- DCF fair value
- $9.51
- Market price
- $19.20
- Downside to fair value
- 50.5%
- Verdict
- 102% above fair value
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of 11.6% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 1.5% a year on average over the same horizon.
What is WY's TickerWorth Score?
Scores lower than almost every company we compare it with
Compared with Real Estate companies in US
Its strongest point: strong balance sheet. Its weakest: profitability is weak.
- Value · 48 of 100
Cheaper than 48% of Real Estate companies in US
- Price vs worth · — of 100
- Quality · 15 of 100
More profitable than 15% of Real Estate companies in US
- Financial health · 66 of 100
Financially stronger than 66% of Real Estate companies in US
- Growth · 44 of 100
Growing faster than 44% of Real Estate companies in US
- Momentum · 12 of 100
Outperformed 12% of Real Estate companies in US over the past year
Confidence: Medium confidence · Scored
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WY DCF valuation: what the price assumes
At a recent price of $19.20, Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) trades 102% above TickerWorth's base-case discounted-cash-flow (DCF) fair value of $9.51 per share — meaning the market currently prices WY overvalued vs our estimate of what the business is intrinsically worth. Our fair value sits below the market, an implied -50.5% move to close the gap if the business performs in line with our assumptions. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation — the value moves with the inputs, which you can test yourself using the WACC slider below.
Read the full reasoning
The valuation discounts Weyerhaeuser Company's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 8.4%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 78% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly 11.6% annual revenue growth for WY. Our base case instead compounds to about 1.5% a year over the same forecast, so the market is pricing in materially faster growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, WY's modeled DCF value ranges from about $4.85 to $20.90 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Weyerhaeuser Company would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of WY's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind WY's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueWEYERHAEUSER COMPANY FY2025 10-K (accession 0001193125-26-051422): us-gaap:Revenues, FY2025 full year. | $6,905,000,000 |
| Base EBIT marginWEYERHAEUSER COMPANY FY2025 10-K (accession 0001193125-26-051422): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 731,000,000 / revenue 6,905,000,000 = 10.59%, FY2025. | 10.6% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | -1% → 0% → 1% → 3% → 4% |
| Risk-free rateLive feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) | 5.1% |
| BetaLive feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) | 0.93 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesWEYERHAEUSER COMPANY FY2025 10-K (accession 0001193125-26-051422): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 723,567,000 shares, FY2025. | 724M |
| Market priceDelayed quote · as of 2026-10-19 23:09 UTC | $19.20 |
Change WY's assumptions
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What does Weyerhaeuser Company do?
What does it do?
Weyerhaeuser Company, one of the world's largest private owners of timberlands, began operations in 1900 and today owns or controls more than 10 million acres of timberlands in the U.S., as well as additional public timberlands managed under long-term licenses in Canada. Weyerhaeuser has been a global leader in sustainability for more than a century and manages 100 percent of its timberlands on a fully sustainable basis in compliance with internationally recognized sustainable forestry standards. It operates in the REIT - Specialty industry (Real Estate sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 9,500 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $6.9B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $8 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 8.0%), after a 15% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 6.9% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks mixed: carries modest debt (0.6× equity), comfortably covers its short-term bills (1.8× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at WY filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaney Brian K | Senior Vice President | Shares withheld (tax) | $85,145.49 | Form 4 for Chaney Brian K (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Wold David M | Senior Vice President & CFO | Shares withheld (tax) | $24,086.16 | Form 4 for Wold David M (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Williams Kim | Director | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Williams Kim (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Monaco Albert | Director | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for Monaco Albert (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Monaco Albert | Director | Grant / award | $86,887.38 | Form 4 for Monaco Albert (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| SELZER LAWRENCE A | Director | Grant / award | — | Form 4 for SELZER LAWRENCE A (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is WY's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's base-case DCF fair value for Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) is $9.51 per share, versus a market price of $19.20 (102% above fair value).
Is WY overvalued or undervalued?
On our DCF model WY looks overvalued vs fair value at $19.20. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for WY?
A WACC of 8.4% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is Weyerhaeuser stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's dcf fair value for Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) is $9.51 against a market price of $19.20. Our read: 102% above fair value. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
Weyerhaeuser (WY) DCF valuation and fair value
Our dcf fair value for Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) is $9.51, built on a 8.4% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into Weyerhaeuser stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of 11.6% a year for 5 years; our model assumes 1.5% a year on average over the same horizon. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $19.20. A model estimate, not investment advice.
Weyerhaeuser (WY) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for Weyerhaeuser Company (WY): Chaney Brian K, Senior Vice President, shares withheld (tax) on 2026-06-03. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
Stocks below our fair value instead
Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.