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Is Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) overvalued or undervalued?

Updated Sep 3, 2026 · researched from SEC filings · educational, not advice

Fair value
$244.27
Market price
$127.18
Upside to fair value
+92.1%
Verdict
92% below fair value

Test the assumptions — move the discount rate

The DCF value below is a real engine result at each WACC (not a re-estimate). Drag to see how sensitive SAIC's DCF is to the discount rate.

Market price: $127.18

At a recent price of $127.18, Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) trades 92% below TickerWorth's blended fair value of $244.27 per share — a discounted-cash-flow model cross-checked against peer multiples and asset value — meaning the market currently prices SAIC undervalued vs our estimate of what the business is intrinsically worth. Our fair value sits above the market, an implied +92.1% move to close the gap if the business performs in line with our assumptions. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation — the value moves with the inputs, which you can test yourself using the WACC slider below.

One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values SAIC at about $195.72 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.

The valuation discounts Science Applications International Corporation's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 6.2%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 84% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.

Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly -3.7% annual revenue growth for SAIC. Our base case instead assumes about 2.8% average growth over the forecast, so the market is pricing in slower growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.

Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, SAIC's modeled DCF value ranges from about $101.81 to $675.64 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.

How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Science Applications International Corporation would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of SAIC's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.

The assumptions behind SAIC's DCF

InputValueSource
Base-year revenue$7,262,000,000Science Applications International Corporation FY2026 10-K (accession 0001571123-26-000029): us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax, FY2026 full year.
Base EBIT margin7.2%Science Applications International Corporation FY2026 10-K (accession 0001571123-26-000029): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 521,000,000 / revenue 7,262,000,000 = 7.17%, FY2026.
Forecast revenue growth2% → 2% → 3% → 3% → 4%Assumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast
Risk-free rate4.8%Live feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX)
Beta0.40Live feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5)
Terminal growth2.5%Assumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC
Diluted shares46MScience Applications International Corporation FY2026 10-K (accession 0001571123-26-000029): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 46,500,000 shares, FY2026.
Market price$127.18Delayed quote · as of 2026-09-03 05:59 UTC

Researched from filings: the base year — revenue, operating margin and balance-sheet figures — comes straight from this company's latest SEC 10-K (cached, refreshed periodically). Forward growth and terminal value are still algorithmic estimates; drag the WACC slider to test sensitivity.

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Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is an educational DCF tool, not a licensed investment adviser. Figures are estimates derived from public filings and market data and can be wrong.