NOW · Intrinsic value
Is ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) overvalued or undervalued?
ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) trades at the delayed market price of $141.97 a share. That price already implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. TickerWorth's fair value is $54.83 a share (159% above fair value), as of Oct 19, 2026. It is a model estimate, and every input behind it is sourced below.
Model by Miraaj Patel · generated from a hand-researched model · Updated Oct 19, 2026 · How these pages are made
Is NOW overvalued?
- Fair value
- $54.83
- Market price
- $141.97
- Downside to fair value
- 61.4%
- Verdict
- 159% above fair value
Reverse DCF: Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast.
What is NOW's TickerWorth Score?
Scores lower than almost every company we compare it with
Compared with Technology companies in US
Its strongest point: recent price trend has been strong. Its weakest: trades above our estimate of what it's worth.
- Value · 30 of 100
Cheaper than 30% of Technology companies in US
- Price vs worth · 1 of 100
- Quality · 52 of 100
More profitable than 52% of Technology companies in US
- Financial health · 30 of 100
Financially stronger than 30% of Technology companies in US
- Growth · 55 of 100
Growing faster than 55% of Technology companies in US
- Momentum · 61 of 100
Outperformed 61% of Technology companies in US over the past year
Confidence: High confidence · Scored
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NOW DCF valuation: what the price assumes
At a recent price of $141.97, ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) trades 159% above TickerWorth's blended fair value of $54.83 per share — a discounted-cash-flow model cross-checked against peer multiples and asset value — meaning the market currently prices NOW overvalued vs our estimate of what the business is intrinsically worth. Our fair value sits below the market, an implied -61.4% move to close the gap if the business performs in line with our assumptions. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation — the value moves with the inputs, which you can test yourself using the WACC slider below.
Read the full reasoning
The valuation discounts ServiceNow, Inc.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 9.8%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 79% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — NOW would need sustained revenue growth of more than 25%/yr to justify today's price, against about 16.3% a year compounded in our base case. We don't quote a precise figure here, because past about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative: it solves for revenue growth alone, holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed, so a price well above our fair value has nowhere to go but growth. The honest reading is that the price implies growth this model can't reconcile — not that we forecast it.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, NOW's modeled DCF value ranges from about $40.41 to $82.89 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what ServiceNow, Inc. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of NOW's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
Every input behind NOW's DCF
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base-year revenueServiceNow FY2025 10-K (accession 0001373715-26-000007, filed 2026-01-29) + ServiceNow Q4/FY2025 earnings release, 8-K Ex-99.1 (accession 0001373715-26-000005, filed 2026-01-28): Total revenues FY2025 (calendar year), us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax = $13,278M: subscription $12,883M + professional services $395M. +20.9% on FY2024's $10,984M, of which ~1pt was Moveworks (closed 2025-12-15) per the Q4 release footnote. UNCHANGED as the base — the DCF grows it by forecast.revenue_growth. CROSS-CHECK, H1 2026 (Q2 8-K Ex-99.1): revenue $7,757M, +23.1% on H1 2025's $6,303M; Q2 alone $3,987M, +24% (22.5% constant currency). That H1 figure already contains Veza (closed 2026-03-02) and Armis (closed 2026-04-20), which management says contribute ~125bp to FY2026 subscription growth; with Moveworks's ~100bp, ORGANIC constant-currency subscription growth is running roughly 19% — my arithmetic from the company's stated contributions, not a ServiceNow figure. | $13,278,000,000 |
| Base EBIT marginServiceNow FY2025 10-K (accession 0001373715-26-000007, filed 2026-01-29) + ServiceNow Q4/FY2025 earnings release, 8-K Ex-99.1 (accession 0001373715-26-000005, filed 2026-01-28): GAAP income from operations $1,824M / revenue $13,278M = 13.74% (us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss). GAAP, NOT the 31% non-GAAP margin ServiceNow headlines: the 17.5-point gap is stock-based compensation $1,955M (14.7% of revenue), acquired-intangible amortization $120M, business-combination costs $109M, severance $74M, contract termination $37M and an impairment $30M, per the Q4 release reconciliation. All of it stays in. Interest income ($451M) is below this line and excluded — the cash that earns it is credited in net debt instead. CROSS-CHECK, H1 2026: GAAP operating margin 8.6% ($665M / $7,757M) vs 12.8% a year earlier; Q2 alone 4.1% ($162M) vs 11.1%. The collapse is acquisition-driven and itemised in the Q2 reconciliation: intangible amortization jumped to $219M in Q2 (5.5% of revenue) from $25M, business-combination costs $75M, severance $62M, and SBC rose to 16.5% of revenue as Armis RSUs (5.9M shares) were granted. The underlying non-GAAP margin was 29.5%, flat year on year. | 13.7% |
| Forecast revenue growthESTIMATEAssumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast | 22% → 18% → 16% → 14% → 12% |
| Risk-free rateUS 10Y Treasury constant maturity (FRED DGS10): 5.24% on 2026-10-01, the latest published observation. House input shared by every model in this tracker. | 5.2% |
| BetaYahoo Finance 5Y-monthly beta via yfinance: Published 5Y-monthly beta 0.972, used UNNORMALIZED. It is low for a high-multiple software name (CRM 1.20, ADBE 1.42 in this tracker) but I have no stated reason to override it: the window includes the 2026 software sell-off, in which ServiceNow fell from ~$193 to ~$81 (split-adjusted 52-week range), so it is not a calm-period artefact. Stated as a lever: a beta of 1.2 (CRM's) takes the value to ~$46.60; nothing near a reasonable beta closes the gap. | 0.97 |
| Terminal growthESTIMATEAssumption — house default: House default 2.5%, kept for comparability. FLAG, and it is the biggest structural fact about this valuation: Year 5 growth is still 12%, and the perpetuity drops it to 2.5% the next year. For a company growing this fast at the end of the explicit forecast, a 5-year DCF with a GDP-like terminal rate is a harsh lens — it implicitly assumes ServiceNow stops being a growth company in 2031. A 3.5% terminal rate gives ~$61.80. Must remain < WACC of 9.84%. | 2.5% |
| Diluted sharesServiceNow Q2 2026 10-Q (accession 0001373715-26-000076, filed 2026-07-23) Note 'Net Income Per Share': Q2 2026 weighted-average diluted shares 1,034,334K (basic 1,031,351K + 2,983K of awards). Was 1,046.6M a year earlier — the $2.0B ASR (18.5M shares at $107.97, completed Q1 2026) and $225M of open-market buybacks more than offset issuance. FLAG: 46.7M awards were ANTI-DILUTIVE in Q2 and excluded (the Armis grants pushed RSUs outstanding to 46.8M); at today's higher price more would count, and management guides Q3 diluted shares to '1.05' billion. Using 1.05B would lower the value by ~$0.80/share. 10-Q cover: ~1,034M shares outstanding. | 1,034M |
| Market priceDelayed quote · as of 2026-10-19 12:50 UTC | $141.97 |
Change NOW's assumptions
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What does ServiceNow, Inc. do?
What does it do?
ServiceNow, Inc. provides cloud-based solution for digital workflows in the North America, Brazil, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates in the Software - Application industry (Technology sector), headquartered in United States. The company employs roughly 29,187 people.
How does it make money?
The business turns $14.7B in annual revenue into profit. Out of every $100 of sales, about $4 is left as operating profit (operating margin of 4.1%), after a 75% gross margin on the products/services it sells. After all costs, taxes and interest, 11.3% of revenue becomes bottom-line net profit.
Is it financially healthy?
Financially it looks mixed: carries modest debt (0.7× equity), may struggle to cover its short-term bills (0.7× current ratio), and is currently profitable.
Who at NOW filed insider trades?
| Date | Insider | Relationship | What happened | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fipps Paul | President, Global Customer Ops | Open-market sale | $300,777.14 | Form 4 for Fipps Paul (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Canney Jacqueline P | Chief People & AI Enblmt. Off. | Open-market sale | $1,082,886.00 | Form 4 for Canney Jacqueline P (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Chamberlain Paul Edward | Director | Open-market sale | $365,851.08 | Form 4 for Chamberlain Paul Edward (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| McDermott William R | Director, Chairman & CEO | Option exercise | — | Form 4 for McDermott William R (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| McDermott William R | Director, Chairman & CEO | Shares withheld (tax) | $263,177.20 | Form 4 for McDermott William R (opens sec.gov in a new tab) | |
| Canney Jacqueline P | Chief People & AI Enblmt. Off. | Option exercise | — | Form 4 for Canney Jacqueline P (opens sec.gov in a new tab) |
A disclosure, not a signal to trade. Source: SEC EDGAR (Form 4). Older filings and the 90-day buying-and-selling read are part of Pro. See plans
Common questions
What is NOW's intrinsic value?
TickerWorth's blended fair value for ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) is $54.83 per share, versus a market price of $141.97 (159% above fair value).
Is NOW overvalued or undervalued?
On our blended fair value NOW looks overvalued vs fair value at $141.97. This is an educational estimate, not advice.
What discount rate is used for NOW?
A WACC of 9.8% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%.
Is ServiceNow stock undervalued?
TickerWorth's fair value for ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) is $54.83 against a market price of $141.97. Our read: 159% above fair value. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
ServiceNow (NOW) DCF valuation and fair value
Our fair value for ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) is $54.83, built on a 9.8% discount rate (WACC) and 2.5% terminal growth. It blends our discounted-cash-flow model with other valuation lenses. Every assumption is listed on this page with its source.
What growth is priced into ServiceNow stock?
Today's price implies revenue growth of more than 25%/yr. Above about 25% a year the reverse-DCF stops being informative. It solves for revenue growth alone — holding margins, capital intensity and the forecast horizon fixed — so a price well above our cash-flow model's value has nowhere to go but growth, and the solver returns a rate the model can't reconcile. Read it as "the price implies growth we can't justify", not as a forecast. This is a reverse DCF: it holds our cash-flow model's other inputs and solves for the revenue growth that makes the model equal today's price of $141.97. A model estimate, not investment advice.
ServiceNow (NOW) insider trading
The most recent insider filing (SEC Form 4) for ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW): Fipps Paul, President, Global Customer Ops, open-market sale on 2026-08-31. The latest filings are listed on this page. A disclosure, not a signal to trade.
How does NOW compare with its peers?
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Not investment advice. TickerWorth Score is a model output.
TickerWorth is not a licensed investment adviser, and these figures are estimates from public filings and market data that can be wrong.