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Is Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) overvalued or undervalued?

Updated Sep 3, 2026 · researched from SEC filings · educational, not advice

Fair value
$142.07
Market price
$67.66
Upside to fair value
+110.0%
Verdict
110% below fair value

Test the assumptions — move the discount rate

The DCF value below is a real engine result at each WACC (not a re-estimate). Drag to see how sensitive BMY's DCF is to the discount rate.

Market price: $67.66

At a recent price of $67.66, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) trades 110% below TickerWorth's blended fair value of $142.07 per share — a discounted-cash-flow model cross-checked against peer multiples and asset value — meaning the market currently prices BMY undervalued vs our estimate of what the business is intrinsically worth. Our fair value sits above the market, an implied +110.0% move to close the gap if the business performs in line with our assumptions. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation — the value moves with the inputs, which you can test yourself using the WACC slider below.

One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values BMY at about $92.16 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.

The valuation discounts Bristol-Myers Squibb Company's projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 6.3%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 84% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.

Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly -1.0% annual revenue growth for BMY. Our base case instead assumes about 4.9% average growth over the forecast, so the market is pricing in slower growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.

Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, BMY's modeled DCF value ranges from about $50.73 to $294.91 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.

How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what Bristol-Myers Squibb Company would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of BMY's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.

The assumptions behind BMY's DCF

InputValueSource
Base-year revenue$48,194,000,000BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY FY2025 10-K (accession 0000014272-26-000004): us-gaap:Revenues, FY2025 full year.
Base EBIT margin19.4%BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY FY2025 10-K (accession 0000014272-26-000004): derived: revenue 48,194,000,000 − CostsAndExpenses 38,866,000,000 = 9,328,000,000 (no operating-income tag) = 19.36%, FY2025.
Forecast revenue growth6% → 5% → 5% → 4% → 4%Assumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast
Risk-free rate4.7%Live feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX)
Beta0.40Live feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5)
Terminal growth2.5%Assumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC
Diluted shares2,039MBRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY FY2025 10-K (accession 0000014272-26-000004): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 2,039,000,000 shares, FY2025.
Market price$67.66Delayed quote · as of 2026-09-03 05:57 UTC

Researched from filings: the base year — revenue, operating margin and balance-sheet figures — comes straight from this company's latest SEC 10-K (cached, refreshed periodically). Forward growth and terminal value are still algorithmic estimates; drag the WACC slider to test sensitivity.

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Educational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is an educational DCF tool, not a licensed investment adviser. Figures are estimates derived from public filings and market data and can be wrong.