Is AT&T Inc. (T) overvalued or undervalued?
Updated Sep 3, 2026 · researched from SEC filings · educational, not advice
At a recent price of $25.95, AT&T Inc. (T) trades 33% below TickerWorth's blended fair value of $34.55 per share — a discounted-cash-flow model cross-checked against peer multiples and asset value — meaning the market currently prices T undervalued vs our estimate of what the business is intrinsically worth. Our fair value sits above the market, an implied +33.1% move to close the gap if the business performs in line with our assumptions. This is an educational model, not a price target or a recommendation — the value moves with the inputs, which you can test yourself using the WACC slider below.
One of the lenses behind that blended figure is a discounted-cash-flow model, which on its own values T at about $63.44 per share. The rest of this page walks through that DCF — its assumptions, reverse-DCF and discount-rate sensitivity — because it is the auditable anchor of the blend.
The valuation discounts AT&T Inc.'s projected free cash flows at a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 6.0%, with a long-run terminal growth rate of 2.5%. About 85% of the enterprise value comes from the terminal value — the portion beyond the explicit forecast window — which is typical for a stable, cash-generative business and a reminder that small changes in the discount rate or terminal growth assumption swing the intrinsic value meaningfully.
Running the DCF in reverse — solving for the growth the current price already assumes — the market is implying roughly -10.1% annual revenue growth for T. Our base case instead assumes about 3.1% average growth over the forecast, so the market is pricing in slower growth than our base case. The reverse-DCF is a quick sanity check: it reframes 'is this stock cheap?' as 'do I believe the growth the price requires?' rather than arguing over a single point estimate of fair value.
Sensitivity matters more than any single number. Across a reasonable band of discount-rate assumptions, T's modeled DCF value ranges from about $31.87 to $249.25 per share. If that range still sits below today's price, the market is optimistic relative to the model across the whole band; if it brackets the price, the stock is roughly fairly valued on our assumptions. Use the interactive slider to see exactly where your own cost-of-capital view lands.
How to read this page: the DCF fair value is what AT&T Inc. would be worth if its cash flows grow as modeled and are discounted at the stated WACC. The assumptions table shows every input and its source; the reverse-DCF shows what the market believes; the sensitivity band shows how fragile the answer is. None of this is investment advice — it is a transparent, auditable framework for forming your own view of T's intrinsic value. Figures update as new filings and prices come in.
The assumptions behind T's DCF
| Input | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Base-year revenue | $125,648,000,000 | AT&T INC. FY2025 10-K (accession 0000732717-26-000120): us-gaap:Revenues, FY2025 full year. |
| Base EBIT margin | 19.2% | AT&T INC. FY2025 10-K (accession 0000732717-26-000120): us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss 24,162,000,000 / revenue 125,648,000,000 = 19.23%, FY2025. |
| Forecast revenue growth | 2% → 3% → 3% → 4% → 4% | Assumption — TickerWorth's 5-year explicit forecast |
| Risk-free rate | 4.7% | Live feed — US 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) |
| Beta | 0.42 | Live feed — yfinance, 5-year monthly beta vs the S&P 500 (clamped to 0.4–2.5) |
| Terminal growth | 2.5% | Assumption — TickerWorth house default 2.5%, held below WACC |
| Diluted shares | 7,179M | AT&T INC. FY2025 10-K (accession 0000732717-26-000120): WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding = 7,179,000,000 shares, FY2025. |
| Market price | $25.95 | Delayed quote · as of 2026-09-03 06:39 UTC |
Researched from filings: the base year — revenue, operating margin and balance-sheet figures — comes straight from this company's latest SEC 10-K (cached, refreshed periodically). Forward growth and terminal value are still algorithmic estimates; drag the WACC slider to test sensitivity.
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Most undervalued stocks (per our valuation) · All valued stocks · Interactive T valuation & downloadable modelEducational tool. Every output reflects the assumptions shown — not a prediction and not investment advice. TickerWorth is an educational DCF tool, not a licensed investment adviser. Figures are estimates derived from public filings and market data and can be wrong.